USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-10 06:00 UTC 24 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

158.008

Target

157.669 +0.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.543 −0.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Down, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle, ADX Trend Weak +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 30 % (8.47) ▼ Bearish 70 % (20.02)

model score 70.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 6h
13:30TodayUSDCore CPI●●●Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896in 6h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.54
▼	ADX Trend Weak	indicator	1.44
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.43
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum cluster on the 1H chart, but trend strength is weak across all timeframes.
Watch for a break below 157.66900 to confirm the downside move.
A move back above 158.54300 would negate the bearish setup.
Choppy price action suggests limited follow-through; trade with tight risk management.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including an ADX Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit, alongside a retreating SMA 50. The confluence of these signals points to a broad-based loss of upside momentum, with sellers stepping in across multiple oscillators. However, the ADX reading remains weak, suggesting the trend is not strongly established, and the overall market is described as choppy/sideways across all timeframes, with only the 2H showing a nascent trend.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish but lacking conviction, as most periods score only 1/5 on trend strength. The 2H timeframe shows a forming trend, which could provide some support for the bearish case, but the lack of momentum in the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) means the move may be limited. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.54300 and support at 157.66900. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillators (BOP, CMO, RSI, WILLR) all confirm bearish momentum.
▼ SMA 50 retreating downward aligns with the bearish direction.
▼ 2H timeframe shows a forming trend, providing a potential leading signal.
▼ Uniformly bearish bias across all timeframes, even if weak.

Risk Factors

▲ ADX indicates a weak trend, so the move may lack momentum.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes could lead to false signals.
▲ The 1H signal includes a STOCH KD Cross Up, which could hint at a short-term bounce.
▲ If price reclaims the 158.54300 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated.