AVAX/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 12:00 UTC 26 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.33 %

Entry

8.5600

Target

8.0680 +5.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0140 −5.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 4,064 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 4,064 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.05 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.07 % 22 % at stop avg −2.83 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Intraday

▲ Bullish 25 % (3.52) ▼ Bearish 75 % (10.76)

model score 75.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.7 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 32.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,440 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 23h
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day
17:00TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 14:03 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.65
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.13

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on 2H suggest a short-term reversal attempt.
Broader trend is bullish on most timeframes, so this may be a pullback.
Key levels: support at 8.06800, resistance at 9.01400.
Watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move.

The 2H chart for AVA/XUSDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CCI OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, COPPOCK Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, ZLMA Break Down, and a Bearish Spinning Top. This confluence suggests a strong short-term reversal attempt, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 8.06800. However, the broader trend is predominantly bullish across most timeframes (30m through 12h), with only the 15m and 1D showing bearish leanings. The 2H itself is still bullish, so this sell signal may represent a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 9.01400 and support at 8.06800. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the mixed higher-timeframe alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical short opportunity with limited downside expectations unless the 4H and 8H turn bearish as well.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups.
▼ Bearish signals align with the 15m and 1D timeframes, adding short-term and long-term support.
▼ Price retreating from EMA 200 and ZLMA breakdown indicate momentum shift.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (75%) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m-12h) are bullish, which could cap downside.
▲ The 2H trend is still bullish, so the sell signal may be a false reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the 9.01400 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Trend scores are low (2/5) across most timeframes, indicating weak trend conviction.