NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-11 18:00 UTC 24 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.55640

Target

0.56140 +0.90 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55274 −0.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ULTOSC OS Exit, CCI OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 91 % (9.18) ▼ Bearish 9 % (0.86)

model score 91.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 2h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	2.28
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.84
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.42
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.01
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, ULTOSC, HMA, ZLMA) align for a short-term bullish reversal on the 1H chart.
The Gapping Down Doji adds candlestick confirmation of a potential bottom.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce unless resistance is cleared.
Key levels: resistance at 0.56140, support at 0.55274.

The 1H NZD/USD signal clusters multiple momentum and candlestick triggers at a potential turning point. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is reclaiming control, while CCI and ULTOSC oversold exits suggest the downside move is exhausting. The HMA and ZLMA retreats up, coupled with a Gapping Down Doji, point to a short-term reversal attempt within a broader bearish structure. The confluence of these indicators increases the likelihood of a bounce, but the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish, so this is best treated as a counter-trend pullback unless price breaks above the nearest resistance.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is strongest on the 15m, 30m, and 1H charts, with solid trend scores of 4/5, 4/5, and 3/5 respectively. The 2H and 12H show a forming bearish trend (2/5), while the 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways (1/5). The daily chart retains a solid bearish trend (3/5). This mixed alignment suggests the immediate momentum is turning up, but the larger picture still favors downside. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56140 and support at 0.55274. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support would invalidate the reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of oscillator oversold exits and momentum turning up.
▲ HMA and ZLMA retreats up indicate early trend reversal on the 1H.
▲ BOP zero cross up shows buying pressure increasing.
▲ The 1H trend score of 3/5 provides moderate support for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trend on 15m, 30m, and 1H could overpower the reversal attempt.
▼ Daily and 12H trends remain bearish, suggesting the larger trend is down.
▼ If price fails to hold above support at 0.55274, the signal is invalidated.
▼ Nearby resistance at 0.56140 may cap upside, especially given the choppy higher timeframes.