NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-11 09:00 UTC 12 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

0.55898

Target

0.55380 +0.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56140 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (5.29) ▼ Bearish 87 % (35.01)

model score 86.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

21:45TodayNZDElectronic Card Retail Sales m/m●●○in 12h
13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.70
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.43
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.03
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.42
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.09
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart points to continued downside pressure.
All timeframes are bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend, supporting the sell bias.
Watch the 0.56140 resistance as the key invalidation level; a break above would weaken the signal.
The nearest support at 0.55865 is the immediate target; a break could open further downside.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by momentum oscillators (BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OS Entry, STOCH KD Cross Down) plus moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current timeframe, with the price breaking below a key trendline and momentum aligning to the downside.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, though the lower timeframes (15m to 1h) show only a forming trend (2/5), while the 1d timeframe shows a solid downtrend (3/5). This suggests the current move is part of a larger bearish structure, but near-term momentum may be less mature. The nearest resistance at 0.56140 is the level to watch for a potential bounce, while the nearest support at 0.55865 is the immediate downside target. A break below support could extend the decline, whereas a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, RSI, STOCH) align with the trendline break.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with the daily showing a solid trend.
▼ High probability (86%) and very strong strength rating indicate robust signal confluence.
▼ The cluster of 15+ signals across indicator, candlestick, and trendline groups adds conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) show only a forming trend (2/5), suggesting momentum may be less mature.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.56140 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 2h-8h timeframes are choppy/sideways (1/5), which could lead to range-bound price action rather than a clean trend.
▲ RSI OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a technical bounce if buying pressure emerges.