USD/JPY – 30M – BUY
BUY With the trend 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: SMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +11 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 6h
- TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 6h
- TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 8h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | SMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.22 |
| ▲ | KAMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▲ | EMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.20 |
| ▲ | MA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▲ | SMI Signal Cross Up | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | QSTICK Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▲ | STC Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | CHOP Choppy | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | WILLR OB Entry | indicator | 1.19 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.15 |
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High | indicator | 0.90 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bullish momentum cluster on the 30-minute chart, with high probability (85%) and very strong signal strength.
- Trend alignment is bullish from 15m to 8h, but the 12h and daily timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move on higher timeframes.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 158.95700 and support at 158.66500; a break above resistance confirms upside, while losing support invalidates the bullish case.
- The confluence of momentum oscillators, EMA retreat, and trendline retreat suggests a high-quality entry point.
Across timeframes, the bias is predominantly bullish from 15 minutes up to 8 hours, with the 1-hour chart showing the most solid trend (3/5). The 30-minute and 2-hour charts are forming trends, while the 4-hour and 8-hour are choppy but still bullish. However, the 12-hour and daily timeframes are bearish, which introduces a conflicting higher-timeframe headwind. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.95700 and support at 158.66500; a break above resistance would confirm bullish continuation, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup.
- ▲ Over 15 signals fired, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, and WILLR, all pointing bullish.
- ▲ EMA Retreat Up and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up show price bouncing off dynamic and structural support.
- ▲ Trend scores are bullish across all lower timeframes, with the 1-hour chart showing a solid trend.
- ▲ The 30-minute trend is forming (2/5), indicating early but developing momentum.
- ▼ The 12-hour and daily timeframes are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
- ▼ The 15-minute and 4-hour/8-hour trends are choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weaker conviction on those timeframes.
- ▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 158.66500, the bullish setup is invalidated.
- ▼ Momentum signals can fade quickly; watch for a loss of bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.95700 | 2026-11-11 |
| S1 | 158.66500 | 2026-11-11 |
| S2 | 157.87200 | 2026-11-10 |
| S3 | 157.66900 | 2026-11-09 |