USD/JPY – 8H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-10 22:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.66 %

Entry

158.814

Target

160.389 +0.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −1.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 360 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 360 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.66 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.41 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.44 % 18 % at stop avg −0.63 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HMA Break Up, ZLMA Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −14.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (65.13) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 38.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 6h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 6h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	3.07
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	3.06
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.99
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.78
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.76
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.68
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.65
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.61
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.48
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.47
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.15
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.45
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.23
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.17
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.08
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 8H chart with 18 signals, including a Trendline Break Up and EMA 200 Break Up.
Short-term timeframes (30m-2h) are bullish, supporting the upward move, but higher timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bearish.
Watch the 158.949 resistance; a break above could extend gains, while 156.962 support is the key invalidation level.
The STOCHF and BBANDS signals suggest a near-term pullback, which may be a buying opportunity if support holds.

The USD/JPY 8H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, firing a cluster of 18 indicators including a Trendline Break Up, EMA 200 Break Up, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA). This confluence suggests a strong upward momentum shift, with the breakout above the 200 EMA and trendline signaling a potential trend reversal on the 8H timeframe. The bullish alignment across the 30m, 1h, and 2h charts, with the 1h showing a solid trend (3/5), supports the case for continued upside, even though higher timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bearish and choppy.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.949 and support at 156.962. A break above resistance could open the door for further gains, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down signals indicate a short-term pullback within the broader uptrend, which may offer an entry point. However, the mixed higher-timeframe trends and the choppy 8H trend (1/5) warrant caution, as the bullish move may be a counter-trend rally.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA) indicate strong momentum in the direction of the trend.
▲ The EMA 200 Break Up and Trendline Break Up are classic bullish reversal signals, often attracting follow-through buying.
▲ Bullish alignment across 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes provides intraday support for the move.
▲ High signal probability (88%) and very strong strength suggest a robust setup.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating a lack of clear directional momentum.
▼ A drop below 156.962 support would invalidate the bullish signal and could trigger a sharp selloff.
▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down and BBANDS Upper Retreat Down signals hint at fading short-term momentum, which might precede a deeper pullback.