NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend NEW

2026-11-12 11:00 UTC 20 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.03 %

Entry

0.55609

Target

0.55380 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55744 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 34 % (7.11) ▼ Bearish 66 % (13.74)

model score 65.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (12 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.07
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.29
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart align with the broader downtrend on higher timeframes.
The 30-minute bullish trend is weak and choppy, likely a corrective bounce rather than a reversal.
Watch the nearest support at 0.55380; a break below would confirm further downside.
Resistance at 0.55744 is the key level to monitor—if price reclaims it, the bearish setup is invalidated.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH and STOCHF exits from overbought territory, a WILLR overbought exit, an EMA 50 retreat down, and multiple zero-cross signals from AO, Coppock, and DPO. This confluence suggests that the recent upward momentum within the 30-minute timeframe is fading, and sellers are regaining control. The alignment across higher timeframes reinforces the bearish case: the 1-hour and daily charts both show solid bearish trends, while the 2-hour and 12-hour timeframes are also bearish but still forming. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are technically bullish, but their trend scores are weak (1/5 and 2/5), indicating that the bounce is choppy and lacks conviction—likely a corrective move within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.55744 and support at 0.55380. A break below the support would confirm the resumption of the broader bearish trend, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup. Given the moderate strength (65% probability) and the mixed lower-timeframe trend, traders should expect some volatility and avoid over-leveraging. The signal is best viewed as a tactical short within a broader downtrend, with the invalidation level clearly defined above the resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish alignment across 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily timeframes.
▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exits and zero-cross signals on the 30-minute chart.
▼ EMA 50 retreat down indicates that the 30-minute price is pulling back toward the moving average, suggesting a bearish push.
▼ The 15-minute and 30-minute bullish trends are weak (1/5 and 2/5), indicating that the bounce lacks momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a continuation of the corrective bounce.
▲ The signal is moderate strength (65%), leaving room for false breakouts or sideways consolidation.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.55744, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes are choppy/sideways, which may limit the follow-through on the downside.