₿ Crypto

Solana SOL · Forecast & Analysis

Crypto
81.4300
-3.72 %
7 D · SOL/USDT
Updated 5 min ago
Overall assessment · Trend + news, checked against price
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
Price -3.72 % 24h · -14.83 % 7d · -23.00 % 30dTrend ▼ 8 of 8 timeframesPossible turn: The 3 most recent active signals are bullish (since 12.11.).News ▲ 36 reports, latest 11.11.

Heads-up: high-impact releases ahead: USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (in 2 h), USD Core PPI m/m, PPI m/m (in 23 h). The outlook can shift noticeably around them.

◆ Technicals and news disagree

The trend across timeframes reads Bearish, while the news flow of the past 30 days reads Bullish. Such splits usually resolve one way or the other — until then, conviction is lower than either side alone suggests.

The verdict on Solana is bearish: the dominant downtrend across the higher timeframes and a hotter-than-expected US inflation print outweigh a modest bounce. The next few weeks read neutral, as the longer-horizon picture is a battle between a strong downtrend and genuinely positive platform news.

News situation · 36 items / 30 D
▲ Bullish medium Data coverage good
4.8 Impact / 10
By source type
News 24 Release 12

12 of 36 straight from the issuer or regulator

Technicals · trend now
▼ Bearish strong Data coverage good
Possible turn

The 3 most recent active signals are bullish (since 12.11.). The signal situation shown, the trend across all timeframes, is still bearish and may be turning.

8 of 8 timeframes down

8 active signals (5 long / 3 short), strongest: 30M at 100 %

AI-generated · as of November 12, 2026
24 h
-3.72 %
Active signals
8 (5↑ / 3↓)
Technicals
BearishPossible turn: The 3 most recent active signals are bullish (since 12.11.).
News, 30 days
Bullish
Chart

SOL chart by timeframe

Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.

SOL · 15M
Loading chart

Outlook

Outlook for Solana

Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.

Next 7 days · 4h–8h trend and news
▼ Bearish medium
Data coverage good
60 % technicals 40 % news
Next 4 weeks · 12h–1d trend and news
▬ Neutral weak
Data coverage good
30 % technicals 70 % news
Next 3 months · news of the last 30 days only
▲ Bullish medium
Data coverage good

No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 36 news items.

What drives it
  • US core inflation came in above forecasts, lifting odds of an aggressive December Fed hike and hitting high-beta coins hardest
  • Trends from the 4-hour to the daily chart are firmly down, with very strong bearish scores on the 2-hour and 12-hour
  • Over the past week and month SOL fell by an unusually large amount for this asset, and the drop tracks fading memecoin trading
  • More than a billion dollars in derivatives were liquidated during the selloff, adding forced selling pressure
What argues against it
  • Over the last 24 hours SOL has clearly risen, and several short-timeframe signals point to a bounce
  • The SEC-sanctioned tokenized stock venue planned on Solana from early 2027 is a real, if distant, positive
  • Oversold indicators and bullish reversal candles on the 12-hour chart suggest selling may be exhausting
What would change the picture
  • A sustained break above resistance at 88.07 would weaken the bearish case
  • A close below support near 74.1 would confirm the downtrend and invalidate the rebound talk
  • PPI and retail sales prints in the coming days worse than expected would likely deepen the pressure
Coming up
  • US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change · expected -2.489M, previous -0.865M
  • US: Producer prices · expected 0.4%, previous 0.7%
  • US: Retail sales · expected 0.7%, previous 0.9%
All dates ↓ All times UTC.
Typical move

7 days: typically ±2.5%, strong from ±5.0%, actual −14.8%

30 days: typically ±5.1%, strong from ±10.3%, actual −23.0%

Economic data for SOL

Full calendar

Recently released

  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●30 min ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI m/m●●●Actual 0.3%Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%better than expected for USDweighs on SOL2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Actual 337.476Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298worse than expected for USDsupports SOL2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Actual 0.4%Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%worse than expected for USDsupports SOL2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Actual 0.2%Previous 0.4%worse than the previous value for USDsupports SOL2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI●●●Actual 339.900Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896better than expected for USDweighs on SOL2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%2 days ago
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%2 days ago

Coming up

  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 2h
  • TomorrowUSDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 23h
  • TomorrowUSDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 23h
  • November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 4 days
  • November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 4 days
  • November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 6 days
  • November 19, 2026USDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index●●●Forecast 32.2Previous 20.9in 6 days
  • November 19, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 6 days

All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on SOLUSDT.

Technicals

Trend across all eight timeframes

15M Scalping ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 31.8
30M Scalping ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 34.1
1H Intraday ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 33.6
2H Intraday ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 33.9
4H Swing ▼ Bearish Solid trend ADX 44.1
8H Swing ▼ Bearish Very strong trend ADX 47.9
12H Position ▼ Bearish Very strong trend ADX 48.4
1D Position ▼ Bearish Very strong trend ADX 46.4

Every higher timeframe from the 4-hour to the daily is in a firm downtrend, which anchors the bearish read. Bullish signals on the 30-minute, 1-hour and 12-hour charts are counter-trend rebound attempts that typically stall at resistance like 88.07 until the larger trend turns.

By trading style

What this means for your trading style

Scalping 15m · 30m
▼ Strongly bearish strong Data coverage good
PRO
67 %
historical hit rate · 506 comparable setups
  • Short-timeframe charts lean bearish despite a fresh bounce; reversal signals quickly faded in recent sessions.
Trendline Break Up SMA Retreat Up
Intraday 1h · 2h
▼ Strongly bearish strong Data coverage good
PRO
67 %
historical hit rate · 253 comparable setups
  • Intraday verdict is bearish: 1-hour bounces face a strongly down 2-hour trend and the 88.07 resistance.
Swing 4h · 8h
▼ Bearish medium Data coverage good
PRO
70 %
historical hit rate · 82 comparable setups
  • Swing charts (4-hour, 8-hour) sit in a very strong downtrend; bounces are treated as counter-trend so far.
Position 12h · 1d
▬ Neutral weak Data coverage good
PRO
—
too few comparable cases (0) for a reliable rate
  • Long-horizon charts are neutral: the daily downtrend meets oversold readings and reversal candles near support.
Signal history

Both worlds over time

One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.

Bullish ▲Bearish ▼14.10. · News signal · 214.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down15.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down16.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down17.10. · News signal · 117.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down18.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down19.10. · News signal · 219.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 4 of 8 timeframes down20.10. · News signal · 120.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 2 up, 3 down of 821.10. · News signal · 321.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down22.10. · News signal · 322.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down23.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down24.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down25.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down26.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down27.10. · News signal · 327.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down28.10. · News signal · 128.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 4 up, 3 down of 829.10. · News signal · 129.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down30.10. · News signal · 230.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down31.10. · News signal · 131.10. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down01.11. · News signal · 301.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down02.11. · News signal · 202.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down03.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down04.11. · News signal · 104.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Neutral · mixed: 4 up, 3 down of 805.11. · News signal · 305.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down06.11. · News signal · 106.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 6 of 8 timeframes down07.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down08.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down09.11. · News signal · 409.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 5 of 8 timeframes down10.11. · News signal · 110.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 7 of 8 timeframes down11.11. · News signal · 111.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down12.11. · Technicals (trend of the day) · Bearish · 8 of 8 timeframes down · current
30 days ago today
Technicals (trend of the day) News signal Size: news = reports that day, technicals = timeframes with data
Possible turn

The 3 most recent active signals are bullish (since 12.11.).

Active signals

8 active signals for SOL

Last 72 hours

Signal SOL/USDT · 30M · BUY 100% VERY STRONG
▲ 100% ▼ 0%
UPDATED Scalping Premium Counter-trend Forecast 56%
Trendline Break Up SMA Retreat Up
15M
30M
1H
2H
4H
8H
12H
1D
News, 30 days

What is being reported about SOL

News Bearish Impact 3/10
Bitcoin ETFs See $1.28 Billion Outflow as GENIUS Act Rules Loom for 2027
The Chart of the Week states SOL has fallen in step with Solana's memecoin trading, tying the token's decline to fading speculative activity. Without …
November 11, 2026
News Bearish Impact 5/10
US Inflation Hits 0.4% in October, Raising Odds of 50-Basis-Point Fed Hike
Above-forecast inflation and rising odds of an aggressive December Fed hike pressure the whole crypto market, and high-beta coins like Solana tend to …
November 10, 2026
News Bullish Impact 4/10
Formation Securities Plans Solana Tokenized Stock Venue for Early 2027
A new SEC Innovation Exemption venue for 24/7 tokenized US stock trading will launch on Solana in early 2027, potentially growing onchain equity activ…
November 9, 2026
News Bullish Impact 5/10
Formation Securities to Launch Solana Tokenized Stock Venue in Early 2027
Solana will host the first SEC-sanctioned tokenized stock venue under the innovation exemption, with trading expected from early 2027 and Galaxy, Exod…
November 9, 2026
News Bearish Impact 4/10
Nvidia Slides 4% on CEO Scandal as Crypto Markets Face $1.1B Liquidations
Solana is named among the market leaders in the red alongside bitcoin, ether and XRP amid the broad risk-off tone. The article also notes a $270 milli…
November 9, 2026
Release Neutral Impact 2/10
Solana Labs-Backed Leap Launches Mobile App for Tokenized Asset Trading
Leap launched a mobile app on Solana on Nov. 5, 2026 for trading tokenized stocks, ETFs, metals, currencies and crypto. The release gives no user, rev…
November 5, 2026
Full analysis

In-depth analysis of Solana

AI-generated · as of November 12, 2026

Solana presents a rare clean divergence: the technical side and the fundamental side point in opposite directions, and for now the charts have the upper hand. The fall over the past week and month was unusually large for this asset, driven by a broad crypto selloff, forced liquidations and fading speculative trading on the network.

Read full analysis

The latest inflation data reinforced the pressure: core figures came in above forecasts, and comments from a Fed official raised the prospect of a larger December rate hike, a poor backdrop for high-beta coins. Against this stand genuinely constructive fundamentals. Solana will host the first SEC-sanctioned tokenized stock venue under the innovation exemption, with Galaxy, Exodus and Forward Industries committed, building on its leading position in onchain equities; trading only starts in early 2027, so the benefit is anticipatory. Chinese regulatory pressure on Solana promotions and scrutiny around the Binance hack investigation add overhang. Price action confirms the tension: after the steep decline, SOL has clearly risen over the last 24 hours, and short-timeframe signals are bullish, but these are counter-trend bounces inside a strongly bearish structure. Resistance at 88.07 is the natural ceiling for such a rebound, with support first near 82.29 and 81.34. The coming week leans bearish; over the next few weeks the balance of downtrend versus improving fundamentals leaves the verdict neutral, so event risk from upcoming US data is high.

Frequently asked questions about Solana

Why is Solana falling when the SEC tokenized stock venue news is positive?

The venue launches in early 2027 and trading is capped under the five-year framework, so the benefit is anticipatory rather than immediate. Near term, hot US inflation, odds of a larger December Fed hike and a broad crypto selloff dominate, and high-beta coins like SOL tend to move hardest in such conditions.

What does the recent bounce in SOL mean for the downtrend?

The clear rise over the last 24 hours follows an unusually large fall, and the short-timeframe signals behind it are counter-trend moves within a still-strongly bearish structure on the 4-hour to daily charts. Such rebounds often stall at resistance around 88.07; a sustained break above it would be the first sign the larger trend is changing.

Which upcoming US data could move Solana?

The high-impact US releases due shortly, including initial jobless claims, PPI and retail sales in the coming days, matter because they shape Fed expectations. Hotter-than-expected figures would support further rate-hike odds and weigh on crypto; softer prints could ease the pressure on SOL and give the rebound room.

Asset Snapshot

📝 Overview Generated automatically

SOL has been the subject of 264 signals across 264 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (63%).

Breakdown: 165 bullish, 60 bearish, 39 neutral.

Most-cited catalysts: Spillover of Bitcoin's low volatility into altcoin markets (1×), 9% drop in Solana (1×), Cascading liquidations of leveraged longs (1×). Most-cited risk factors: Potential network congestion or technical instability on Solana (2×), Regulatory constraints limiting access to 'eligible investors' only (2×), Network outages or congestion issues hurting sentiment (1×).

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