EUR/CHF 30M VERKAUF

· vor 47 Tagen
VERKAUF
85%
▼ VERKAUF
STRONG
Scalping
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
54.4% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 84.6 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 15% (4.60) ▼ Bearish 85% (25.30)
EUR/CHF  ·  30M
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 30m 18%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Jul 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
CCI OB Exit indicator 2.62
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)continuation fibonacci 1.64
HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
TEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.41
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.10
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.08
Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.84
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.64

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
30M
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1H
UPTrend entsteht
2H
UPTrend entsteht
4H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
UPTrend entsteht
12H
DOWNTrend entsteht
1D
UPTrend entsteht

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart suggests a high-probability short-term sell opportunity in EUR/CHF.
  • The immediate downside target is support at 0.92827, with resistance at 0.93487 as the key invalidation level.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so this is likely a corrective move; watch for signs of reversal near support.
  • The confluence of candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator signals increases confidence, but the mixed trend context warrants caution.
The 30-minute EUR/CHF chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, TEMA Retreat Down, and HT SINE Zero Cross Down, all pointing to a loss of upside momentum. The candlestick pattern of a Closing Marubozu Bearish and a Tweezers Top reinforces the bearish reversal, while the Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) indicates price has broken below a key retracement level, suggesting the start of a deeper pullback. The confluence of these signals across different indicator families (momentum, trend, and candlestick) strengthens the bearish case, but the broader context shows mixed signals: the 15m and 30m are bearish, while higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) are bullish, though mostly with weak trend scores. This suggests the current bearish move may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, and traders should be cautious about the sustainability of the downside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.93487, which should now act as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 0.92827, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support would confirm further bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the mixed higher-timeframe trends, the trade is best suited for short-term scalping or day trading, with tight risk management. The strong signal strength and high probability (80%) suggest a favorable risk/reward, but traders must remain flexible to shifts in the higher-timeframe trend.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals across different indicator families (momentum, trend, and candlestick) strengthens the bearish case.
  • Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) confirms a break below a key retracement level, suggesting further downside potential.
  • Strong trend scores on the 30M and 15M timeframes align with the bearish direction, supporting short-term momentum.
  • Bearish candlestick patterns (Closing Marubozu and Tweezers Top) at a resistance area add to the reversal evidence.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick reversal.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.93487 is a key level; a reclaim above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • The 15M and 30M trends are rated as 'choppy/sideways' (1/5), indicating weak trend strength and potential for false signals.
  • The signal occurs late in the day (22:00 UTC), which may coincide with low liquidity and increased volatility risk.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Zeitrahmen 30M
Richtung VERKAUF
Probability 85%
Strength STRONG
Datum 2026-07-31 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 0.93487 2026-07-30
S1 0.92827 2026-07-31
S2 0.92711 2026-07-30

Tags

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