CFX/USDT – 4H – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 7× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 47 Tagen
CFX/USDT  ·  4H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 4h 86%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
Bear Pennantstate only chart_pattern 3.56
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.89
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.75
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.46
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.44
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)state only fibonacci 1.01
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.84
Tweezers Top candlestick 0.73

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNTrend entsteht
30M
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
2H
UPTrend entsteht
4H
UPSolider Trend
8H
UPSolider Trend
12H
UPSolider Trend
1D
UPTrend entsteht

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Bearish momentum is strong on the 4H, with a Bear Pennant and multiple zero-cross signals confirming downside pressure.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) remain bullish, so this signal may represent a pullback rather than a full reversal.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.04024: a break below could confirm the bearish move, while holding it may lead to a bounce.
  • The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength indicate a high-confidence short-term setup, but conflicting trends add risk.
The 4H CFX/USDT chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Bear Pennant pattern and multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing below zero or their signal lines. The BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm that the short-term trend is losing upside momentum, while the inclusion of candlestick and Fibonacci groups suggests a confluence of price action and retracement levels aligning with the downside. However, this bearish signal is firing against a predominantly bullish higher-timeframe backdrop: the 4H, 8H, and 12H trends are all rated as solid bullish (3/5), and the 2H is turning bullish. This creates a conflict where the immediate 4H momentum is bearish, but the larger structure remains bullish, implying this could be a corrective pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.05100 and support at 0.04024. A break below the support level would strengthen the bearish case and could open the door to further downside, while holding above it would keep the bullish higher-timeframe trend intact. The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength suggest that the bearish momentum is forceful in the short term, but traders should be cautious about the conflicting higher-timeframe trends. The 15m and 30m are also bearish, but the 2H and above are bullish, so the signal may be best interpreted as a short-term pullback or a potential trend change if support fails. Monitoring price action around these levels and any shift in higher-timeframe momentum will be crucial.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down, reinforcing bearish momentum.
  • Bear Pennant pattern suggests a continuation of the preceding downtrend, adding technical weight.
  • BBANDS Middle Cross Down and KAMA Retreat Down confirm that price is losing upside momentum and trending lower.
  • Inclusion of Fibonacci and candlestick groups suggests additional confluence at key retracement levels.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, which could overpower the short-term bearish signal and lead to a reversal upward.
  • The nearest support at 0.04024 is a critical level; if it holds, the bearish move may stall and the uptrend could resume.
  • The 2H timeframe is turning bullish, indicating that the bearish momentum may be fading at lower timeframes.
  • If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.05100, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol CFX/USDT
Zeitrahmen 4H
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 86%
Strength STRONG
Datum 2026-08-02 20:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 0.05100 2026-07-31
S1 0.04024 2026-07-31

Tags

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