EUR/GBP – 2H – VERKAUF
VERKAUF 1× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 47 Tagen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
5 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 10.8 %
vs 17.9 % average ·
stopped out 12.7 %
vs 9.2 %
(Forex, 166 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Aug 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | WILLR OB Exit | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation | trendline | 1.52 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)continuation | fibonacci | 1.41 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation | sr | 1.00 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.97 |
Trend-Kontext
15MDOWNTrend entsteht
30MDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
2HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
4HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HUPSolider Trend
12HUPTrend entsteht
1DUPTrend entsteht
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- Multiple bearish signals (trendline, resistance, Fibonacci, indicators) align on the 2H timeframe, suggesting a strong short-term sell opportunity.
- The sell signal is a counter-trend move against the bullish higher timeframes (2H and above), so it may be a pullback rather than a major reversal.
- Watch the nearest support at 0.85419 for a potential bounce; a break below could open further downside, while a hold may see a return to the uptrend.
- The strong signal strength (75% probability) increases confidence, but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.
The EUR/GBP 2H signal has fired a SELL with strong conviction, driven by a confluence of bearish indicators and patterns. The Trendline Retreat Down and Resistance Level Retreat Down suggest price has been rejected from a descending trendline and a resistance zone, while the Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) indicates a pullback within a larger downtrend. The BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit all point to fading bullish momentum and a shift toward bearish pressure. The SAR Flip Bearish adds a trend-reversal confirmation. Together, these signals suggest that the short-term bearish move is likely to continue, with the nearest support at 0.85419 as the initial downside target.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bullish, with the 8H showing a solid trend. This suggests that the current sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The 15M timeframe is bearish but only trend forming, while the 30M and 1H are bearish but choppy. The alignment across lower timeframes supports the short-term bearish move, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce at support or a reversal if the higher-timeframe bullish trend reasserts. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85858 and support at 0.85419.
However, the higher timeframes present a conflicting picture: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bullish, with the 8H showing a solid trend. This suggests that the current sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend. The 15M timeframe is bearish but only trend forming, while the 30M and 1H are bearish but choppy. The alignment across lower timeframes supports the short-term bearish move, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce at support or a reversal if the higher-timeframe bullish trend reasserts. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.85858 and support at 0.85419.
Auslöser
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal types: trendline, Fibonacci, support/resistance, and indicator-based signals all pointing the same direction.
- ▼ All lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.
- ▼ The Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend at 79% indicates price has retraced to a key level, increasing the likelihood of a continuation lower.
- ▼ The SAR Flip Bearish and BOP Zero Cross Down confirm a shift in momentum.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, with the 8H showing a solid trend, which could overpower the short-term bearish move.
- ▲ The nearest support at 0.85419 is close, and a bounce there could invalidate the sell signal.
- ▲ The 30M and 1H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear momentum that could lead to false signals.
- ▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 0.85858, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
Symbol
EUR/GBP
Zeitrahmen
2H
Richtung
VERKAUF
Conviction
7%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-04 08:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.85858 | 2026-07-30 |
| S1 | 0.85419 | 2026-07-31 |
| S2 | 0.85296 | 2026-07-24 |
| S3 | 0.84827 | 2026-07-20 |