APT/USDT – 30M – VERKAUF
VERKAUF 2× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 46 Tagen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 21.5 %
vs 37.5 % average ·
stopped out 32.1 %
vs 19.8 %
(Crypto, 483 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 2.40 |
| ▲ | Bull Flagstate only | chart_pattern | 2.33 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Downstate only | trendline | 2.22 |
| ▼ | Triple Bottom Retreat Downstate only | chart_pattern | 1.73 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Downstate only | chart_pattern | 1.61 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.41 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 1.29 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 1.00 |
Trend-Kontext
15MUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
30MUPTrend entsteht
1HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
2HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
4HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HUPTrend entsteht
12HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
1DDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30m chart suggests a short-term reversal from the recent upswing.
- The broader trend is still bullish on most lower timeframes, but the 12h and 1d are bearish, so this may be a pullback within a larger uptrend.
- The immediate downside target is the support at 0.57000; a break below it would confirm further downside.
- The signal is strong (76% probability, strong strength), but traders should watch for a bounce at support or a break of the recent high to invalidate the bearish setup.
The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals—Trendline Retreat Down, Double and Triple Bottom Retreat Down, Bull Flag, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down—indicating that the recent upward momentum has stalled and is reversing. The confluence of trendline and chart-pattern retreats, combined with momentum oscillators exiting overbought territory, points to a short-term shift from bullish to bearish. However, the broader picture is mixed: while the 15m through 8h timeframes are still bullish, they are mostly choppy or only trend-forming, and the 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish. This suggests that the sell signal is likely a pullback within a larger bullish structure rather than the start of a major downtrend, but the alignment with the higher-timeframe bearish bias adds weight.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 0.57000, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this level would confirm the bearish reversal and could open the door to further declines. On the upside, the retreat from the recent high (the trendline and pattern retreats) sets a resistance zone near that high, but no specific level is provided. Traders should watch for a bounce at support or a decisive break lower to gauge the strength of the selling pressure. The strong probability (76%) and strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup, but the conflicting higher-timeframe bullishness warrants caution.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 0.57000, which is the immediate downside target. A break below this level would confirm the bearish reversal and could open the door to further declines. On the upside, the retreat from the recent high (the trendline and pattern retreats) sets a resistance zone near that high, but no specific level is provided. Traders should watch for a bounce at support or a decisive break lower to gauge the strength of the selling pressure. The strong probability (76%) and strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup, but the conflicting higher-timeframe bullishness warrants caution.
Auslöser
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals: trendline retreat, double and triple bottom retreats, and a bull flag breakdown all point to the same direction.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF) are turning down from overbought levels, adding to the bearish case.
- ▼ The higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are already bearish, aligning with the 30m sell signal.
- ▼ Strong probability and strength ratings indicate a high-confidence setup.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ The 15m through 8h timeframes are still bullish, so the sell signal may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, and price could resume higher.
- ▲ If price holds above support at 0.57000 and bounces, the bearish signal could fail.
- ▲ A break above the recent high (the level from which the retreat occurred) would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ The choppy/sideways nature of most timeframes suggests low trend strength, which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
Symbol
APT/USDT
Zeitrahmen
30M
Richtung
VERKAUF
Conviction
0%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-05 02:30
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| S1 | 0.57000 | 2026-08-04 |
| S2 | 0.56900 | 2026-08-04 |
| S3 | 0.55500 | 2026-08-03 |