EUR/JPY 4H KAUF

· vor 42 Tagen
KAUF
80%
▲ KAUF
STRONG
Swing
5 of 10 signals like this one ended in profit
45.8% of closed signals in this class ended above zero
model score 79.7 — ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability
▲ Bullish 80% (12.44) ▼ Bearish 20% (3.18)
EUR/JPY  ·  4H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 4h 18%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.70
MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.58
Bear Flagstate only chart_pattern 2.47
SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.00
CCI OB Exit indicator 1.89
STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.52
BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%)state only fibonacci 1.45
DX Trend Strong indicator 1.06
Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.85

Trend-Kontext

15M
UPTrend entsteht
30M
UPTrend entsteht
1H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
2H
DOWNTrend entsteht
4H
DOWNSolider Trend
8H
DOWNSehr starker Trend
12H
DOWNSolider Trend
1D
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • A cluster of bullish signals on the 4H chart suggests a potential upward move, but the larger trend is bearish, so this may be a counter-trend rally.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 187.46700 and support at 179.36400; a break above or below these levels will confirm direction.
  • Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend, indicating that the bullish signal might be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
  • The signal has a high probability (84%) and strong strength, but caution is advised due to conflicting trend signals across timeframes.
The 4H chart for EUR/JPY has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bear Flag pattern, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and several retreat-up signals (MAMA, MIDPOINT, SMA). These suggest that the recent bearish move may be pausing or reversing, with buyers stepping in after a period of selling pressure. The confluence of these signals on the 4H timeframe points to a potential upward correction or trend reversal, especially as the price approaches the nearest support at 179.36400. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes show bullish formation, the higher timeframes (2H through 12H) remain bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend. This suggests that any bullish move on the 4H could be counter-trend and may face strong resistance from the larger bearish structure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 187.46700, which aligns with the prior highs and could cap upside, and the nearest support at 179.36400, which is the immediate floor. A break above resistance would signal stronger bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend. The signal probability is high at 84% with strong strength, but given the conflicting higher timeframe trends, traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation, such as a close above key resistance or a sustained move higher on higher timeframes.
Auslöser
  • Multiple bullish signals firing together on the 4H chart, including a Bear Flag pattern and several retreat-up signals, indicate strong buying interest.
  • The 15m and 30m timeframes are showing bullish trend formation, suggesting that short-term momentum is aligning with the 4H signal.
  • The price is near the nearest support at 179.36400, which could act as a springboard for a bounce if it holds.
  • The signal's high probability and strong strength scores suggest that the technical setup is robust.
Risikofaktoren
  • The higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, with the 8H showing a very strong downtrend, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal and lead to a failed rally.
  • The 1H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction in the medium term, which could lead to whipsaws.
  • If the price breaks below the nearest support at 179.36400, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the downtrend could resume.
  • The nearest resistance at 187.46700 is a significant level; if the price fails to break above it, the bullish move could stall and reverse.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Zeitrahmen 4H
Richtung KAUF
Probability 80%
Strength STRONG
Datum 2026-08-05 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 187.46700 2026-07-29
S1 179.36400 2026-08-03

Tags

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