GBP/USD – 30M – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 4× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 47 Tagen
Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 5.1 % vs 17.1 % average · stopped out 9.4 % vs 9.1 % (Forex, 117 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
GBP/USD  ·  30M
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 10 × 30m 10%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
Symmetrical Trianglestate only chart_pattern 2.49
SAR Flip Bearish indicator 2.17
T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.89
BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.83
CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.76
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)continuation fibonacci 1.72
Trendline Break Upstate only trendline 1.70
DX Trend Weak indicator 1.67
Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation sr 1.62
Double Bottomstate only chart_pattern 1.61
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.61
HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.48
Double Bottom Retreat Downcontinuation chart_pattern 1.36
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.14
Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.11

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNTrend entsteht
30M
UPTrend entsteht
1H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
2H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
4H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
UPTrend entsteht
12H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to a potential short-term decline, but the higher timeframe trend is bullish, creating a conflict.
  • Watch the tight range between support at 1.34391 and resistance at 1.34710; a break of either level will signal the next move.
  • The bearish signals are strong (81% probability) but may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, so manage risk accordingly.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD) all crossed down, confirming bearish pressure in the short term.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Double Bottom, Double Bottom Retreat Down, Symmetrical Triangle, and multiple momentum crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down). The combination of a completed double bottom followed by a retreat down and a symmetrical triangle breakdown suggests that the recent bullish reversal has stalled and is now reversing lower. The fact that the trendline break up occurred but price has since retreated below it adds a bearish twist, indicating a potential false breakout or a shift in sentiment. The confluence of these patterns and momentum signals at the same price zone strengthens the bearish case, with the nearest resistance at 1.34710 and support at 1.34391 providing clear levels to watch.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bullish, with the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily all showing bullish bias, albeit mostly choppy or trend-forming. This divergence creates a conflict: the bearish signal on the 30-minute chart is against the broader trend. The signal probability of 81% and strong strength suggest that the immediate move may favor the downside, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce if support holds. The key levels are tight, with only about 32 pips between support and resistance, so a clear break of either level will likely dictate the next move. If price breaks below 1.34391, the bearish scenario gains traction; if it holds and pushes above 1.34710, the bearish signal is invalidated.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (double bottom retreat, symmetrical triangle breakdown) on the 30-minute chart.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD) all crossing down, confirming bearish pressure.
  • Trendline break up followed by a retreat down, suggesting a false breakout and reversal.
  • Strong signal strength and high probability (81%) add confidence to the bearish scenario.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframes are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a pullback within an uptrend; a bounce from support could invalidate the sell.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 1.34710, the bearish setup is invalidated and could lead to a rally.
  • The market is choppy on higher timeframes, which could lead to whipsaws and false signals.
  • Momentum may fade quickly if the double bottom holds and price resumes the broader uptrend.
Symbol GBP/USD
Zeitrahmen 30M
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-05 16:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 1.34710 2026-08-03
R2 1.35057 2026-08-03
S1 1.34391 2026-08-04
S2 1.34190 2026-08-04
S3 1.34168 2026-08-03

Tags

Ähnliche Signale