GBP/USD – 30M – VERKAUF
VERKAUF 4× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 47 Tagen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
7 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 5.1 %
vs 17.1 % average ·
stopped out 9.4 %
vs 9.1 %
(Forex, 117 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Symmetrical Trianglestate only | chart_pattern | 2.49 |
| ▼ | SAR Flip Bearish | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | T3 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.89 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.83 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)continuation | fibonacci | 1.72 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Upstate only | trendline | 1.70 |
| ▼ | DX Trend Weak | indicator | 1.67 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation | sr | 1.62 |
| ▲ | Double Bottomstate only | chart_pattern | 1.61 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | Double Bottom Retreat Downcontinuation | chart_pattern | 1.36 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.14 |
| ▼ | Last Engulfing Bottom | candlestick | 1.11 |
Trend-Kontext
15MDOWNTrend entsteht
30MUPTrend entsteht
1HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
2HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
4HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HUPTrend entsteht
12HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1DUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to a potential short-term decline, but the higher timeframe trend is bullish, creating a conflict.
- Watch the tight range between support at 1.34391 and resistance at 1.34710; a break of either level will signal the next move.
- The bearish signals are strong (81% probability) but may be a pullback within a larger uptrend, so manage risk accordingly.
- Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD) all crossed down, confirming bearish pressure in the short term.
The GBP/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, Double Bottom, Double Bottom Retreat Down, Symmetrical Triangle, and multiple momentum crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, MACD Signal Cross Down). The combination of a completed double bottom followed by a retreat down and a symmetrical triangle breakdown suggests that the recent bullish reversal has stalled and is now reversing lower. The fact that the trendline break up occurred but price has since retreated below it adds a bearish twist, indicating a potential false breakout or a shift in sentiment. The confluence of these patterns and momentum signals at the same price zone strengthens the bearish case, with the nearest resistance at 1.34710 and support at 1.34391 providing clear levels to watch.
However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bullish, with the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily all showing bullish bias, albeit mostly choppy or trend-forming. This divergence creates a conflict: the bearish signal on the 30-minute chart is against the broader trend. The signal probability of 81% and strong strength suggest that the immediate move may favor the downside, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce if support holds. The key levels are tight, with only about 32 pips between support and resistance, so a clear break of either level will likely dictate the next move. If price breaks below 1.34391, the bearish scenario gains traction; if it holds and pushes above 1.34710, the bearish signal is invalidated.
However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bullish, with the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily all showing bullish bias, albeit mostly choppy or trend-forming. This divergence creates a conflict: the bearish signal on the 30-minute chart is against the broader trend. The signal probability of 81% and strong strength suggest that the immediate move may favor the downside, but traders should be cautious of a potential bounce if support holds. The key levels are tight, with only about 32 pips between support and resistance, so a clear break of either level will likely dictate the next move. If price breaks below 1.34391, the bearish scenario gains traction; if it holds and pushes above 1.34710, the bearish signal is invalidated.
Auslöser
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish patterns (double bottom retreat, symmetrical triangle breakdown) on the 30-minute chart.
- ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD) all crossing down, confirming bearish pressure.
- ▼ Trendline break up followed by a retreat down, suggesting a false breakout and reversal.
- ▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (81%) add confidence to the bearish scenario.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ Higher timeframes are bullish, so the bearish signal may be a pullback within an uptrend; a bounce from support could invalidate the sell.
- ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.34710, the bearish setup is invalidated and could lead to a rally.
- ▲ The market is choppy on higher timeframes, which could lead to whipsaws and false signals.
- ▲ Momentum may fade quickly if the double bottom holds and price resumes the broader uptrend.
Symbol
GBP/USD
Zeitrahmen
30M
Richtung
VERKAUF
Conviction
10%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-05 16:30
cat_ Forex
Forex
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.34710 | 2026-08-03 |
| R2 | 1.35057 | 2026-08-03 |
| S1 | 1.34391 | 2026-08-04 |
| S2 | 1.34190 | 2026-08-04 |
| S3 | 1.34168 | 2026-08-03 |