NZD/USD – 30M – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 5× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 47 Tagen
NZD/USD  ·  30M
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 30m 6%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.51
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.49
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.48
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.39
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.37
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.36
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.23
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
Resistance Level Retreat Downcontinuation sr 1.99
Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation trendline 1.98
MACD Zero Cross Down indicator 1.74
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.68
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%)continuation fibonacci 1.68
STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.40
Bearish Harami candlestick 1.31
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.27

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNTrend entsteht
30M
DOWNSolider Trend
1H
DOWNTrend entsteht
2H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
4H
UPTrend entsteht
8H
UPSolider Trend
12H
UPSolider Trend
1D
UPTrend entsteht

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators confirming a sell signal.
  • Trend alignment is bearish on lower timeframes but bullish on higher timeframes, indicating a likely pullback in a larger uptrend.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.58615; a break could trigger further downside, while resistance at 0.58939 is the key invalidation level.
  • Mixed signals from stochastic and Bollinger Bands suggest caution against chasing the move without confirmation.
The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Retreat Down and multiple zero-cross downs on the APO, BOP, and MACD, alongside DEMA Retreat Down. This confluence indicates strong downward momentum on the intraday timeframe, with price retreating from a trendline and key indicators confirming bearish pressure. The signal strength is rated very strong with 95% probability, supported by the alignment of bearish trends on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, though the higher timeframes (4h to 1d) remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective move within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 0.58939 and support at 0.58615. A break below support could extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish bias. The mixed signals from the stochastic (KD Cross Up) and Bollinger Bands (Lower Retreat Up) hint at potential short-term bounces, so traders should monitor price action at these levels for confirmation.
Auslöser
  • Confluence of multiple bearish signals: Trendline Retreat Down, APO, BOP, MACD, and DEMA all pointing down.
  • Bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes strengthens the signal.
  • Very strong signal strength (95%) and high probability rating.
  • Price retreating from a trendline and key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish case.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a reversal.
  • Stochastic KD Cross Up and BBANDS Lower Retreat Up hint at potential short-term bounce.
  • If price breaks above resistance at 0.58939, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • The 2h timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction on that horizon.
Symbol NZD/USD
Zeitrahmen 30M
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-05 03:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 0.58939 2026-08-04
R2 0.59078 2026-08-03
S1 0.58615 2026-08-04
S2 0.58597 2026-08-03
S3 0.58488 2026-07-31

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