AUD/CAD – 2H – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 3× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 42 Tagen
AUD/CAD  ·  2H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 2h 32%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 4.43
Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 3.39
Triple Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.21
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.49
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)continuation fibonacci 2.35
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.28
EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.23
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.16
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.14
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.12
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.96
WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.62
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.57
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.44
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.18

Trend-Kontext

15M
DOWNTrend entsteht
30M
DOWNTrend entsteht
1H
DOWNSehr starker Trend
2H
DOWNTrend entsteht
4H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
DOWNTrend entsteht

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Strong bearish confluence: Trendline Break Down, Double/Triple Top, and multiple indicator crosses all align for a sell.
  • 1H trend is very strong bearish (4/5), supporting the 2H signal, but higher timeframes are mixed.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.99250 and support at 0.98102; watch for a break below support for continuation.
  • Signal strength is very high (96%), but monitor for failure above resistance to invalidate.
The AUD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and DEMA/EMA Retreats Down, all converging to indicate strong selling pressure. The confluence of chart patterns (Double and Triple Top) with momentum and trendline breaks reinforces the bearish bias. Across timeframes, the 1H shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), while 15m, 30m, and 2H are also bearish, though still forming (2/5). The 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways but bearish, and the 12H is bullish but choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is bearish but higher timeframe trend is less clear. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99250 and support at 0.98102. A break below support would extend the bearish move, while a rebound above resistance would invalidate the signal.

The signal's very strong strength (96% probability) is supported by the alignment of multiple technical tools across different categories—candlestick, chart pattern, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci. The presence of both Double and Triple Top patterns adds weight to the bearish case, as does the BOP zero cross down and the STOCHF/KD cross down, which confirm selling momentum. The WILLR oversold entry suggests the move may be extended, but the trend is still intact. However, traders should be cautious of the mixed higher timeframe picture: the 12H is bullish and the 4H/8H are choppy, which could lead to consolidation or a pullback. The invalidation level is the 0.99250 resistance; a daily close above that would negate the bearish setup.
Auslöser
  • Multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and trendline break provide strong confluence.
  • Indicator alignment: BOP zero cross down, STOCHF KD cross down, and WILLR oversold entry confirm momentum.
  • Trend alignment: 1H very strong bearish, with 15m-2H all bearish, supporting the 2H signal.
  • High probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate robust technical setup.
Risikofaktoren
  • Higher timeframe conflict: 12H is bullish and 4H/8H are choppy/sideways, which may limit downside.
  • WILLR oversold entry suggests the move may be overextended, risking a bounce.
  • Invalidation: a close above 0.99250 resistance would negate the bearish signal.
  • Nearby support at 0.98102 could act as a floor, slowing the decline.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Zeitrahmen 2H
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 32%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-07 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 0.99250 2026-08-05
S1 0.98102 2026-08-03
S2 0.97509 2026-07-30

Tags

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