AUD/CAD – 2H – VERKAUF
VERKAUF 3× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 42 Tagen
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Aug 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 4.43 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 3.39 |
| ▼ | Triple Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.21 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (50%)continuation | fibonacci | 2.35 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.16 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.14 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.96 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.57 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 1.18 |
Trend-Kontext
15MDOWNTrend entsteht
30MDOWNTrend entsteht
1HDOWNSehr starker Trend
2HDOWNTrend entsteht
4HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1DDOWNTrend entsteht
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- Strong bearish confluence: Trendline Break Down, Double/Triple Top, and multiple indicator crosses all align for a sell.
- 1H trend is very strong bearish (4/5), supporting the 2H signal, but higher timeframes are mixed.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.99250 and support at 0.98102; watch for a break below support for continuation.
- Signal strength is very high (96%), but monitor for failure above resistance to invalidate.
The AUD/CAD 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Trendline Break Down, Double Top, Triple Top, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and DEMA/EMA Retreats Down, all converging to indicate strong selling pressure. The confluence of chart patterns (Double and Triple Top) with momentum and trendline breaks reinforces the bearish bias. Across timeframes, the 1H shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), while 15m, 30m, and 2H are also bearish, though still forming (2/5). The 4H and 8H are choppy/sideways but bearish, and the 12H is bullish but choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is bearish but higher timeframe trend is less clear. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.99250 and support at 0.98102. A break below support would extend the bearish move, while a rebound above resistance would invalidate the signal.
The signal's very strong strength (96% probability) is supported by the alignment of multiple technical tools across different categories—candlestick, chart pattern, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci. The presence of both Double and Triple Top patterns adds weight to the bearish case, as does the BOP zero cross down and the STOCHF/KD cross down, which confirm selling momentum. The WILLR oversold entry suggests the move may be extended, but the trend is still intact. However, traders should be cautious of the mixed higher timeframe picture: the 12H is bullish and the 4H/8H are choppy, which could lead to consolidation or a pullback. The invalidation level is the 0.99250 resistance; a daily close above that would negate the bearish setup.
The signal's very strong strength (96% probability) is supported by the alignment of multiple technical tools across different categories—candlestick, chart pattern, indicator, trendline, and Fibonacci. The presence of both Double and Triple Top patterns adds weight to the bearish case, as does the BOP zero cross down and the STOCHF/KD cross down, which confirm selling momentum. The WILLR oversold entry suggests the move may be extended, but the trend is still intact. However, traders should be cautious of the mixed higher timeframe picture: the 12H is bullish and the 4H/8H are choppy, which could lead to consolidation or a pullback. The invalidation level is the 0.99250 resistance; a daily close above that would negate the bearish setup.
Auslöser
- ▼ Multiple bearish patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and trendline break provide strong confluence.
- ▼ Indicator alignment: BOP zero cross down, STOCHF KD cross down, and WILLR oversold entry confirm momentum.
- ▼ Trend alignment: 1H very strong bearish, with 15m-2H all bearish, supporting the 2H signal.
- ▼ High probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate robust technical setup.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ Higher timeframe conflict: 12H is bullish and 4H/8H are choppy/sideways, which may limit downside.
- ▲ WILLR oversold entry suggests the move may be overextended, risking a bounce.
- ▲ Invalidation: a close above 0.99250 resistance would negate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Nearby support at 0.98102 could act as a floor, slowing the decline.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Zeitrahmen
2H
Richtung
VERKAUF
Conviction
32%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-07 04:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99250 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 0.98102 | 2026-08-03 |
| S2 | 0.97509 | 2026-07-30 |