AVA/XUSDT – 1H – VERKAUF

VERKAUF 7× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 42 Tagen
Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.5 % vs 37.5 % average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 19.8 % (Crypto, 483 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
AVA/XUSDT  ·  1H
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 12 × 1h 24%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Ausgelöste Signale

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Ausgelöste Signale Category Weight
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)state only fibonacci 1.80
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.75
Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation trendline 1.54
MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.48
ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.48
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
Resistance Level Retreat Downstate only sr 1.42
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.31

Trend-Kontext

15M
UPTrend entsteht
30M
UPSolider Trend
1H
UPTrend entsteht
2H
UPTrend entsteht
4H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8H
DOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12H
UPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1D
DOWNTrend entsteht

Analyse

🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
  • Bearish signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential pullback or reversal, but the trend is bullish on lower timeframes, creating a conflict.
  • Resistance at 6.59500 and support at 6.36100 are the key levels to monitor for direction.
  • The signal is weak (61% probability, weak strength), so it should be treated as a minor setup rather than a high-conviction trade.
  • Higher-timeframe trends (8H and 1D) are bearish, which could support a deeper decline if the short-term bullish momentum fades.
The 1H SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%). These signals collectively suggest that the immediate upward momentum is fading and that price may be preparing to retrace from recent highs. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are all bullish (albeit with varying strength), the 8h and 1d timeframes are bearish, indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is not aligned with the short-term bullish bias. This divergence suggests that the sell signal could be a corrective pullback within a larger bullish move, or the beginning of a more significant reversal if the higher-timeframe bearish pressure dominates.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 6.59500 and support at 6.36100. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might indicate that the bulls are still in control. The signal's weak probability (61%) and weak strength suggest that the setup is not robust, and traders should exercise caution, especially given the conflicting higher-timeframe trends. The Fibonacci break upTrend (0%) adds a technical layer, but its significance is muted by the overall mixed trend picture.
Auslöser
  • Multiple bearish indicators fired together, including Trendline Retreat Down and BOP Zero Cross Down, reinforcing the sell signal.
  • The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) adds a technical layer that aligns with the bearish bias.
  • The 8H and 1D timeframes are bearish, providing a higher-timeframe backdrop that could support a move lower.
  • The STOCH KD Cross Down indicates fading momentum, which often precedes price declines.
Risikofaktoren
  • The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are all bullish, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a continuation higher.
  • The signal strength is weak, suggesting that the bearish momentum may not be strong enough to sustain a significant move.
  • If price holds above the support at 6.36100, the sell signal could be invalidated, and a bounce could occur.
  • The mixed trend across timeframes (bullish on 1H-4H, bearish on 8H and 1D) creates uncertainty, and the direction may be choppy.
Symbol AVA/XUSDT
Zeitrahmen 1H
Richtung VERKAUF
Conviction 24%
Strength WEAK
Datum 2026-08-08 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Unterstützung & Widerstand

Niveau Preis Gebildet
R1 6.59500 2026-08-08
R2 6.98700 2026-08-04
S1 6.36100 2026-08-07
S2 6.35000 2026-08-06
S3 6.04000 2026-08-01

Tags

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