AVA/XUSDT – 1H – VERKAUF
VERKAUF 7× AKTUALISIERT CLOSED
vor 42 Tagen
⚠ Opened against the trend in
6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 21.5 %
vs 37.5 % average ·
stopped out 32.1 %
vs 19.8 %
(Crypto, 483 closed runs).
Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Conviction, candle by candle
conviction per candle
4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Ausgelöste Signale
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Aug 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)state only | fibonacci | 1.80 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation | trendline | 1.54 |
| ▲ | MOM Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | ROC Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▲ | ROCR Cross Up | indicator | 1.48 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Downstate only | sr | 1.42 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.31 |
Trend-Kontext
15MUPTrend entsteht
30MUPSolider Trend
1HUPTrend entsteht
2HUPTrend entsteht
4HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
12HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
1DDOWNTrend entsteht
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- Bearish signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential pullback or reversal, but the trend is bullish on lower timeframes, creating a conflict.
- Resistance at 6.59500 and support at 6.36100 are the key levels to monitor for direction.
- The signal is weak (61% probability, weak strength), so it should be treated as a minor setup rather than a high-conviction trade.
- Higher-timeframe trends (8H and 1D) are bearish, which could support a deeper decline if the short-term bullish momentum fades.
The 1H SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is a confluence of multiple bearish indicators, including a Trendline Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%). These signals collectively suggest that the immediate upward momentum is fading and that price may be preparing to retrace from recent highs. However, the broader trend context is mixed: while the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are all bullish (albeit with varying strength), the 8h and 1d timeframes are bearish, indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is not aligned with the short-term bullish bias. This divergence suggests that the sell signal could be a corrective pullback within a larger bullish move, or the beginning of a more significant reversal if the higher-timeframe bearish pressure dominates.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 6.59500 and support at 6.36100. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might indicate that the bulls are still in control. The signal's weak probability (61%) and weak strength suggest that the setup is not robust, and traders should exercise caution, especially given the conflicting higher-timeframe trends. The Fibonacci break upTrend (0%) adds a technical layer, but its significance is muted by the overall mixed trend picture.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 6.59500 and support at 6.36100. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and could accelerate the decline, while a bounce off support might indicate that the bulls are still in control. The signal's weak probability (61%) and weak strength suggest that the setup is not robust, and traders should exercise caution, especially given the conflicting higher-timeframe trends. The Fibonacci break upTrend (0%) adds a technical layer, but its significance is muted by the overall mixed trend picture.
Auslöser
- ▼ Multiple bearish indicators fired together, including Trendline Retreat Down and BOP Zero Cross Down, reinforcing the sell signal.
- ▼ The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) adds a technical layer that aligns with the bearish bias.
- ▼ The 8H and 1D timeframes are bearish, providing a higher-timeframe backdrop that could support a move lower.
- ▼ The STOCH KD Cross Down indicates fading momentum, which often precedes price declines.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are all bullish, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a continuation higher.
- ▲ The signal strength is weak, suggesting that the bearish momentum may not be strong enough to sustain a significant move.
- ▲ If price holds above the support at 6.36100, the sell signal could be invalidated, and a bounce could occur.
- ▲ The mixed trend across timeframes (bullish on 1H-4H, bearish on 8H and 1D) creates uncertainty, and the direction may be choppy.
Symbol
AVA/XUSDT
Zeitrahmen
1H
Richtung
VERKAUF
Conviction
24%
Strength
WEAK
Datum
2026-08-08 12:00
cat_ Crypto
Crypto
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 6.59500 | 2026-08-08 |
| R2 | 6.98700 | 2026-08-04 |
| S1 | 6.36100 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 6.35000 | 2026-08-06 |
| S3 | 6.04000 | 2026-08-01 |