AUD/CAD – 1H – VERKAUF
VERKAUF
96%
▲ Bullish 4% (1.31)
▼ Bearish 96% (31.53)
Lädt…
Signal-Verlauf
Ausgelöste Signale
| Ausgelöste Signale | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.83 |
| ▼ | SMA 50 Break Down | indicator | 2.71 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 2.66 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross | indicator | 2.48 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.37 |
| ▼ | ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.34 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (24%) | fibonacci | 2.26 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 2.10 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.09 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.96 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.95 |
| ▼ | SUPERTREND Flip Bearish | indicator | 1.92 |
| ▼ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | QQE Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | Marubozu Bearish | candlestick | 1.24 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low | indicator | 0.93 |
Trend-Kontext
15MDOWNSehr starker Trend
30MDOWNTrend entsteht
1HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
2HDOWNSeitwärts / richtungslos
4HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
8HUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
12HUPTrend entsteht
1DUPSeitwärts / richtungslos
Analyse
🎯 Die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse
- Strong bearish confluence on 1H: trendline break, EMA 200 break, Death Cross, and multiple retreat signals.
- Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) confirm bearish momentum, but higher timeframes (4H-1D) are still bullish, suggesting a correction.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.99753, support at 0.99070; a break below support extends the move, reclaiming resistance invalidates.
- Probability rated at 95% with very strong strength, but the higher-timeframe bullish bias is a significant counterweight.
The 1H AUD/CAD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down, and a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs, alongside multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) and an APO Zero Cross Down. This confluence across trendline, moving average, and momentum indicators points to a decisive shift in intraday momentum favoring sellers. The lower timeframes confirm the bearish tilt: 15m shows a very strong downtrend (4/5), and 30m is trending down, while the 1H and 2H are bearish but choppy, suggesting the sell-off is still developing rather than fully mature.
However, the higher timeframes (4H through 1D) remain bullish, albeit choppy, which introduces a conflicting backdrop. This means the current bearish move is likely a correction within a larger uptrend, not a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.99753 (the broken trendline/EMA zone) and support at 0.99070. A sustained close below support would extend the bearish correction, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity aligned with lower-timeframe momentum, but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias.
However, the higher timeframes (4H through 1D) remain bullish, albeit choppy, which introduces a conflicting backdrop. This means the current bearish move is likely a correction within a larger uptrend, not a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.99753 (the broken trendline/EMA zone) and support at 0.99070. A sustained close below support would extend the bearish correction, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the sell signal. Traders should treat this as a short-term opportunity aligned with lower-timeframe momentum, but remain cautious of the higher-timeframe bullish bias.
Auslöser
- ▼ Dense cluster of 20+ bearish signals across trendline, moving average, and momentum indicators.
- ▼ Trend alignment on 15m and 30m supports immediate downside follow-through.
- ▼ Break of the 200 EMA and the 20/50 Death Cross add weight to the bearish case.
- ▼ Proximity to resistance at 0.99753 offers a clear invalidation level.
Risikofaktoren
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) remain bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a bounce.
- ▲ 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak momentum that may not sustain the sell-off.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 0.99753 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ If support at 0.99070 holds, the pair may consolidate, reducing the reward-to-risk for new shorts.
Symbol
AUD/CAD
Zeitrahmen
1H
Richtung
VERKAUF
Probability
96%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Datum
2026-09-10 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Unterstützung & Widerstand
| Niveau | Preis | Gebildet |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.99753 | 2026-09-09 |
| R2 | 0.99901 | 2026-09-07 |
| S1 | 0.99070 | 2026-09-04 |
| S2 | 0.99005 | 2026-09-03 |
| S3 | 0.99004 | 2026-09-01 |
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