ETH/BTC – 2H – VENTA

VENTA 2× ACTUALIZADO CLOSED

2026-08-04 08:00 UTC hace 46 días

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Aug 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)state only	fibonacci	2.18
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▼	Symmetrical Trianglecontinuation	chart_pattern	1.69
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	Trendline Break Downcontinuation	trendline	1.25
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.24
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.18

Trend Context

15M

DOWNLateral / sin dirección

30M

DOWNTendencia formándose

DOWNTendencia sólida

DOWNTendencia formándose

DOWNLateral / sin dirección

12H

UPTendencia sólida

UPTendencia muy fuerte

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales

A strong bearish signal on the 2H chart, backed by a cluster of technical patterns and indicators, suggests further downside in the short term.
The immediate downside target is the support at 0.02870, while resistance at 0.02978 caps upside moves.
The short-term trend is bearish, but the higher timeframes (12h, 1d) remain bullish, indicating this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend.
Monitor the 0.02870 support; a break below could signal a deeper correction, while a hold may lead to a reversal back up.

The ETH/BTC pair on the 2H timeframe has triggered a SELL signal with strong conviction (84% probability, strong strength). The confluence of a Trendline Break Down, a Symmetrical Triangle breakdown, and multiple moving average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) indicates a decisive bearish shift in the short-term trend. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirm weakening buying pressure and bearish momentum. This cluster of signals points to a continuation of the current down move, with the nearest support at 0.02870 as the immediate downside target, while resistance sits at 0.02978.

Across timeframes, the short-term picture is clearly bearish, with the 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h all showing bearish trends, though the 1h is the strongest (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bullish, indicating that this is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend. The 4h and 8h are choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of strong directional conviction on those frames. Traders should watch the 0.02870 support closely; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a bounce could signal a resumption of the broader uptrend.

Catalizadores

▼ Multiple trendline and pattern breaks (Trendline Break Down, Symmetrical Triangle) align in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▼ All moving average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) confirm the bearish momentum, indicating a strong downward push.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down add momentum and volume confirmation, strengthening the bearish case.
▼ The 1H timeframe shows a solid bearish trend (3/5), which aligns with the 2H signal and supports the short-term move.

Factores de riesgo

▲ The higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a reversal if the broader uptrend resumes.
▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction on those frames, which could cause the 2H signal to lose momentum.
▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.02870, the bearish signal could be invalidated, and a bounce back toward resistance is possible.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are weak (1/5 and 2/5), suggesting that the immediate momentum may be fading, potentially leading to consolidation before further movement.