SOL/BTC – 1H – COMPRA

COMPRA 3× ACTUALIZADO CLOSED

2026-08-04 01:00 UTC hace 46 días

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.5 % vs 37.5 % average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 19.8 % (Crypto, 483 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downstate only	trendline	2.99
▲	Support Level Retreat Upcontinuation	sr	1.89
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (50%)continuation	fibonacci	1.77
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.34

Trend Context

15M

UPLateral / sin dirección

30M

UPLateral / sin dirección

DOWNLateral / sin dirección

12H

DOWNLateral / sin dirección

Analysis

🎯 Conclusiones principales

Short-term bullish signals on the 1H chart, but the broader trend is bearish across all timeframes.
Key support at 0.00115 and resistance at 0.00117; the 50% Fibonacci level adds confluence.
Moderate probability (69%) suggests a bounce, but traders should be cautious given the weak trend scores.
Watch for a break above 0.00117 for confirmation; a close below 0.00115 invalidates the setup.

The SOL/BTC 1H signal fires a BUY with moderate strength (69% probability) based on a confluence of technical events: a trendline break down, BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, a Fibonacci retreat up-trend at the 50% level, a bullish meeting lines candlestick pattern, and a support level retreat up. These signals collectively suggest a short-term bounce within a broader bearish context. The price is currently near the nearest support at 0.00115, with resistance at 0.00117, and the 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with this support zone, adding confluence.

However, the higher timeframe trend is bearish across all timeframes from 1H to 1D, with weak trend scores (1/5) indicating choppy, sideways action. This suggests that the bullish signals are counter-trend and likely to be short-lived. The alignment of the 1H signal with lower timeframe bullishness (15m and 30m) provides short-term momentum, but the overarching bearish trend and lack of strong trend scores argue for caution. Traders should watch for a break above 0.00117 to confirm upside, while a close below 0.00115 would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalizadores

▲ Multiple bullish signals converge: trendline break, BOP zero cross, STOCHF cross, Fibonacci retreat, and bullish meeting lines.
▲ Price is holding at a key support level (0.00115) with a 50% Fibonacci retracement, providing a strong support zone.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, suggesting short-term momentum aligns with the 1H signal.

Factores de riesgo

▼ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are bearish, indicating the bullish signal is counter-trend and could fail.
▼ Weak trend scores (1/5) across all timeframes point to choppy, sideways action, reducing conviction.
▼ A break below 0.00115 would invalidate the bullish setup and could accelerate selling.
▼ Resistance at 0.00117 is nearby, limiting upside potential if the bounce stalls.