BTC/USDT – 2H – ACHAT

ACHAT 1× ACTUALISÉ CLOSED

2026-08-04 00:00 UTC il y a 46 jours

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Aug 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Retreat UpTrend (79%)state only	fibonacci	2.03
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.58
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.42
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.33
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.25
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.18
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.71

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance naissante

30M

UPTendance naissante

UPSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple indicators aligning (APO, BOP, STOCHF, WILLR).
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are turning bullish, but higher timeframes (4h-1d) remain bearish.
Key resistance at 65,409.56 and support at 62,275.00 will define the next move.
This is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend; manage risk accordingly.

The 2H BTC/USDT signal is strongly bullish (87% probability, very strong strength), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: ADXR Trend Weak, APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OB Entry, and multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). These suggest that buying pressure is building, and the market is attempting to reverse from a short-term oversold condition. The signal aligns with bullish momentum on the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes (all trend forming, 2/5), indicating that the immediate short-term trend is turning up. However, the higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish, which caps the upside potential and suggests that this bullish move could be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 65,409.56 and support at 62,275.00. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case. Given the mixed trend alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with defined risk, not a trend-following signal. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 2H chart provides a high-probability setup, but the higher-timeframe bearish bias requires caution.

Catalyseurs

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF) all showing bullish crossovers.
▲ Retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE) indicate price pulling back to key moving averages and trendlines, offering entry points.
▲ Short-term trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h supports immediate bullish momentum.
▲ Strong signal strength (87% probability) increases confidence in the setup.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ Failure to break above the nearest resistance at 65,409.56 could lead to a pullback.
▼ ADXR Trend Weak suggests the current trend is not strong, so the move may lack follow-through.
▼ If price breaks below support at 62,275.00, the bullish signal is invalidated.