EUR/CAD – 2H – ACHAT
ACHAT
74%
▲ Bullish 74% (28.71)
▼ Bearish 26% (9.88)
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Signal evolution
Evenements pour EUR/CAD
Calendrier complet- DemainEURHarmonised Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Prevision 3.8%Precedent 3.6%dans 7 h
- DemainEURCore Inflation Rate YoY (Jul)●●●Prevision 3%Precedent 2.9%dans 7 h
- DemainEURInflation Rate MoM (Jul)●●●Prevision 0.2%Precedent 0.6%dans 7 h
Toutes les heures UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 3.62 |
| ▲ | DEMA Retreat Up | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▲ | MIDPOINT Break Up | indicator | 2.01 |
| ▲ | Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.94 |
| ▲ | Support Level Retreat Up | sr | 1.89 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▲ | CCI Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | Spinning Top Bullish | candlestick | 1.12 |
Trend Context
15MUPTendance naissante
30MUPSans direction
1HUPTendance naissante
2HDOWNTendance solide
4HDOWNTendance solide
8HDOWNSans direction
12HDOWNTendance naissante
1DDOWNTendance naissante
Analysis
🎯 Points clés
- The 2H signal is bullish, but the higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, indicating a likely counter-trend bounce.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.62476, support at 1.60703. A break above resistance could extend the bounce, while a break below support invalidates the signal.
- Momentum indicators (CCI, STOCHF) and price action (Trendline Break, Spinning Top) align for a short-term upward move.
- The trend is not aligned across timeframes, so this is a tactical trade rather than a trend-following one.
The EUR/CAD 2H signal is BUY, driven by a cluster of bullish signals: a Trendline Break Down, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%), Spinning Top Bullish, and Support Level Retreat Up. These signals collectively suggest that the pair is bouncing off support and breaking above a trendline, with momentum shifting upward. However, the higher timeframes (2H and above) remain bearish, indicating that this is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.62476 is a key level to watch, as a break above it could confirm a deeper correction, while the nearest support at 1.60703 is the invalidation level for this bullish signal.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1H are bullish, but the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are bearish. This suggests the bullish momentum is short-term, and the trend is not aligned. The signal's probability is 74% with moderate strength, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) indicates that the price has broken above the 0% level of a Fibonacci retracement, which could signal a move toward the 23.6% or 38.2% levels. The Spinning Top Bullish candle adds to the bullish case, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for a limited upside.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1H are bullish, but the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are bearish. This suggests the bullish momentum is short-term, and the trend is not aligned. The signal's probability is 74% with moderate strength, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trend. The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) indicates that the price has broken above the 0% level of a Fibonacci retracement, which could signal a move toward the 23.6% or 38.2% levels. The Spinning Top Bullish candle adds to the bullish case, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for a limited upside.
Catalyseurs
- ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously (trendline break, CCI zero cross, DEMA retreat, midpoint break, Fibonacci break, bullish candle).
- ▲ Support level retreat up suggests buyers are defending the support zone.
- ▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are bullish, providing some momentum for the bounce.
- ▲ The Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%) indicates a potential start of a corrective wave higher.
Facteurs de risque
- ▼ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, which could cap the upside and lead to a reversal.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.62476 is a strong barrier; failure to break above it could stall the move.
- ▼ The STOCHF KD Cross Down is a bearish signal within the bullish cluster, suggesting some momentum divergence.
- ▼ If price breaks below support at 1.60703, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
Symbol
EUR/CAD
Timeframe
2H
Direction
ACHAT
Probability
74%
Strength
MODERATE
Date
2026-08-12 10:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.62476 | 2026-08-05 |
| S1 | 1.60703 | 2026-07-31 |
| S2 | 1.60295 | 2026-07-29 |
| S3 | 1.60243 | 2026-07-28 |
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