GBP/USD – 1H – VENTE
VENTE
98%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.17)
▼ Bearish 98% (70.68)
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Signal evolution
Evenements pour GBP/USD
Calendrier complet- DemainUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Prevision 0.5%Precedent 0.4%dans 22 h
- DemainUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Prevision 6%Precedent 6.7%dans 22 h
- DemainUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Prevision 0.6%Precedent 0.5%dans 22 h
Toutes les heures UTC.
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Descending Triangle | chart_pattern | 3.50 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 3.07 |
| ▲ | Trendline Break Up | trendline | 2.64 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.60 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.36 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.00 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 1.98 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) | fibonacci | 1.97 |
| ▼ | Resistance Level Retreat Down | sr | 1.92 |
| ▼ | Trendline Retreat Down | trendline | 1.91 |
| ▲ | STOCH OS Exit | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.64 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.54 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.45 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.28 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | High Wave Bearish | candlestick | 1.18 |
| ▼ | Tweezers Top | candlestick | 1.01 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNTendance naissante
30MDOWNTendance naissante
1HDOWNSans direction
2HUPSans direction
4HUPTendance solide
8HUPTendance solide
12HUPTendance naissante
1DUPTendance solide
Analysis
🎯 Points clés
- Strong 1H bearish signal with 20 signals, including a Descending Triangle breakdown and trendline break, pointing to further downside toward 1.34338.
- Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are solidly bullish, so this 1H sell is likely a pullback within an uptrend, not a major reversal.
- Watch the 1.34338 support: a break opens the door for deeper losses, but a hold could trigger a bounce back toward resistance.
- Resistance at 1.35154 has been rejected; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 1H GBP/USD signal is strongly bearish, firing a dense cluster of 20 signals including a Descending Triangle breakdown, Trendline Break Down, and multiple momentum crossovers (APO, BOP, DI, DM) all pointing lower. This confluence of chart pattern, trendline, and indicator signals suggests a well-defined bearish move is underway on the 1H timeframe, with the break of the descending triangle's lower boundary and the trendline confirming seller control. The nearest support at 1.34338 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 1.35154 has been rejected, reinforcing the bearish bias.
However, the higher timeframes are not aligned with the 1H bearish signal. The 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes are all in solid bullish trends, and the 2H is also bullish, though choppy. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish signal is operating against the larger bullish trend. The trend scores on the 1H and below are weak (1/5 or 2/5), indicating the bearish move may be a pullback within a broader uptrend rather than a reversal. The key is whether the 1H bearish momentum can push price through the 1.34338 support; if it holds, the bullish higher timeframes could reassert themselves.
However, the higher timeframes are not aligned with the 1H bearish signal. The 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes are all in solid bullish trends, and the 2H is also bullish, though choppy. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish signal is operating against the larger bullish trend. The trend scores on the 1H and below are weak (1/5 or 2/5), indicating the bearish move may be a pullback within a broader uptrend rather than a reversal. The key is whether the 1H bearish momentum can push price through the 1.34338 support; if it holds, the bullish higher timeframes could reassert themselves.
Catalyseurs
- ▼ Confluence of multiple signal types: chart pattern (Descending Triangle), trendline breaks, and momentum indicators (APO, BOP, DI, DM) all align bearish.
- ▼ The break of the descending triangle lower boundary and the trendline break down confirm seller dominance on the 1H timeframe.
- ▼ The nearest support at 1.34338 is the immediate target, and the distance to it provides room for the move.
- ▼ The signal probability is very high (94%) with very strong strength, indicating robust historical reliability of this signal combination.
Facteurs de risque
- ▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (4H, 8H, 1D) are in direct conflict with the 1H bearish signal; a bullish push from those timeframes could stall the decline.
- ▲ The 1H trend is rated as choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the bearish move may lack strong momentum and could reverse quickly.
- ▲ If price fails to break below 1.34338 support, the bearish signal weakens, and a bounce toward resistance is likely.
- ▲ A reclaim of the 1.35154 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling that the pullback is over.
Symbol
GBP/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
VENTE
Probability
98%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-08-13 00:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.35154 | 2026-08-11 |
| R2 | 1.35301 | 2026-08-10 |
| S1 | 1.34338 | 2026-08-07 |
| S2 | 1.34190 | 2026-08-04 |
| S3 | 1.34168 | 2026-08-03 |
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