GBP/USD 1H VENTE

· il y a 16 heures
VENTE
98%
▼ VENTE
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
⚡ Confluence +60%
▲ Bullish 2% (1.17) ▼ Bearish 98% (70.68)
GBP/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Evenements pour GBP/USD

Calendrier complet
  • DemainUSDRetail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM (Jul)●●○Prevision 0.5%Precedent 0.4%dans 22 h
  • DemainUSDRetail Sales YoY (Jul)●●●Prevision 6%Precedent 6.7%dans 22 h
  • DemainUSDRetail Sales Control Group MoM (Jul)●●●Prevision 0.6%Precedent 0.5%dans 22 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
Descending Triangle chart_pattern 3.50
Trendline Break Down trendline 3.07
Trendline Break Up trendline 2.64
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.60
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.52
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.36
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.36
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.28
EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.15
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.98
Fibonacci Break DownTrend (0%) fibonacci 1.97
Resistance Level Retreat Down sr 1.92
Trendline Retreat Down trendline 1.91
STOCH OS Exit indicator 1.74
STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.65
DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.64
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.45
APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.28
HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.22
High Wave Bearish candlestick 1.18
Tweezers Top candlestick 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTendance naissante
30M
DOWNTendance naissante
1H
DOWNSans direction
2H
UPSans direction
4H
UPTendance solide
8H
UPTendance solide
12H
UPTendance naissante
1D
UPTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés
  • Strong 1H bearish signal with 20 signals, including a Descending Triangle breakdown and trendline break, pointing to further downside toward 1.34338.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are solidly bullish, so this 1H sell is likely a pullback within an uptrend, not a major reversal.
  • Watch the 1.34338 support: a break opens the door for deeper losses, but a hold could trigger a bounce back toward resistance.
  • Resistance at 1.35154 has been rejected; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 1H GBP/USD signal is strongly bearish, firing a dense cluster of 20 signals including a Descending Triangle breakdown, Trendline Break Down, and multiple momentum crossovers (APO, BOP, DI, DM) all pointing lower. This confluence of chart pattern, trendline, and indicator signals suggests a well-defined bearish move is underway on the 1H timeframe, with the break of the descending triangle's lower boundary and the trendline confirming seller control. The nearest support at 1.34338 is the immediate downside target, while resistance at 1.35154 has been rejected, reinforcing the bearish bias.

However, the higher timeframes are not aligned with the 1H bearish signal. The 4H, 8H, and 1D timeframes are all in solid bullish trends, and the 2H is also bullish, though choppy. This creates a conflict: the 1H bearish signal is operating against the larger bullish trend. The trend scores on the 1H and below are weak (1/5 or 2/5), indicating the bearish move may be a pullback within a broader uptrend rather than a reversal. The key is whether the 1H bearish momentum can push price through the 1.34338 support; if it holds, the bullish higher timeframes could reassert themselves.
Catalyseurs
  • Confluence of multiple signal types: chart pattern (Descending Triangle), trendline breaks, and momentum indicators (APO, BOP, DI, DM) all align bearish.
  • The break of the descending triangle lower boundary and the trendline break down confirm seller dominance on the 1H timeframe.
  • The nearest support at 1.34338 is the immediate target, and the distance to it provides room for the move.
  • The signal probability is very high (94%) with very strong strength, indicating robust historical reliability of this signal combination.
Facteurs de risque
  • Higher timeframe bullish trends (4H, 8H, 1D) are in direct conflict with the 1H bearish signal; a bullish push from those timeframes could stall the decline.
  • The 1H trend is rated as choppy/sideways (1/5), suggesting the bearish move may lack strong momentum and could reverse quickly.
  • If price fails to break below 1.34338 support, the bearish signal weakens, and a bounce toward resistance is likely.
  • A reclaim of the 1.35154 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup, signaling that the pullback is over.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction VENTE
Probability 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-08-13 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.35154 2026-08-11
R2 1.35301 2026-08-10
S1 1.34338 2026-08-07
S2 1.34190 2026-08-04
S3 1.34168 2026-08-03

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