USD/JPY – 1H – ACHAT

ACHAT 3× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-09 14:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

158.264

Target

158.851 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.520 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 784 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 784 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 39 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 10 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, CCI OB Exit

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 19,952 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

40.3 % ↑ +5.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 96 % (33.31) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.41)

model score 32.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 17.8 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 11.5 % (forex, 383 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.87
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.71
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

UPSans direction

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

12H

UPSans direction

UPTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal d'achat sur USD/JPY 1H motivé par les sorties de surachat des oscillateurs et les croisements haussiers.
Structure de tendance mitigée : haussière sur les horizons supérieurs (12H, 1D) mais baissière sur la plage 1H-4H.
Surveillez la résistance à 158.369 et le support à 157.520 pour confirmer une cassure ou un effondrement.
Signal de force modérée ; traitez-le comme un jeu de rebond à moins que l'horizon supérieur ne devienne haussier.

Le signal USD/JPY 1H déclenche un ACHAT basé sur un groupe de lectures d'oscillateurs : CCI et Williams %R sortant du territoire de surachat, un croisement STOCH haussier et des croisements baissiers sur STOCHF et KDJ. Ces indicateurs suggèrent que la pression baissière immédiate pourrait s'atténuer et qu'un rebond à court terme pourrait se développer. Cependant, la force modérée du signal et la probabilité de 68% reflètent l'absence de confirmation de tendance forte sur les horizons temporels plus larges.

Sur les horizons temporels, le tableau est mitigé. Les horizons 30m, 12h et 1D sont haussiers, mais les horizons 15m, 1H, 2H, 4H et 8H sont baissiers, la plupart montrant des conditions agitées/neutres. Cette divergence signifie que le signal d'achat est principalement un mouvement contra-tendance au sein d'une structure baissière plus large. La résistance la plus proche à 158.369 est une barrière haussière clé ; une cassure au-dessus pourrait ouvrir la voie vers des niveaux plus élevés, tandis que le support le plus proche à 157.520 sert de zone d'invalidation baissière immédiate. Les traders doivent surveiller l'action des prix autour de ces niveaux pour confirmer la validité du signal.

Catalyseurs

▲ Les oscillateurs (CCI, WILLR) sortant des zones de surachat suggèrent un épuisement des ventes.
▲ Le croisement STOCH haussier sur le 1H ajoute une confirmation de momentum.
▲ Le soutien des horizons supérieurs des tendances haussières 12H et 1D pourrait étayer le rebond.
▲ La proximité du support à 157.520 pourrait attirer les acheteurs si le prix tient.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance baissière sur les horizons 1H-4H pourrait dominer le rebond contra-tendance.
▼ Les conditions agitées/neutres sur la plupart des horizons réduisent la fiabilité du signal.
▼ Une cassure sous 157.520 invaliderait la configuration haussière et prolongerait probablement les baisses.
▼ Momentum qui s'estompe si le prix ne parvient pas à franchir la résistance à 158.369.