AVA/XUSDT – 4H – ACHAT

ACHAT NOUVEAU

2026-10-13 16:00 UTC il y a 1 heure

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

10.264

Target

11.730 +14.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.764 −4.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 57 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.10 % per trade 1,223 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,223 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.82 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.68 % 26 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.86 % 18 % at stop avg −4.12 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, AO Saucer Bullish, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 21,675 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 61 % (5.27) ▼ Bearish 39 % (3.42)

model score 60.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 32.8 % on average · stopped out 38.0 % vs 21.3 % (crypto, 1,330 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (13 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.62
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.39
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.37
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.20
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNTendance naissante

UPTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signaux haussiers sur 4H mais contre la tendance intraday baissière plus large.
La tendance quotidienne est haussière, offrant un soutien potentiel à plus long terme.
Surveiller la résistance à 11,73000 et le support à 9,76400.
La faible force du signal suggère la prudence; une confirmation est nécessaire.

Le graphique 4H AVA/XUSDT a déclenché un ensemble de signaux haussiers, notamment un BOP Zero Cross Up, un AO Saucer Bullish et un Long Legged Doji, suggérant un rebond potentiel à court terme. Cependant, la tendance globale sur la plupart des périodes (15m à 12h) est baissière, seule la période 1D montrant une tendance haussière solide. Cette divergence indique que le signal d'achat actuel est contraire à la tendance sur les périodes inférieures, et la faible force (60%) reflète le manque d'alignement.

Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance à 11,73000 et le support à 9,76400. Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance confirmerait un changement de biais intraday, tandis qu'une perte du support invaliderait la configuration haussière. Le signal est mieux vu comme un long tactique dans le cadre d'une correction baissière plus large, la tendance quotidienne fournissant le contexte haussier sous-jacent.

Catalyseurs

▲ Plusieurs indicateurs haussiers (BOP, AO, HMA) s'alignent sur le 4H.
▲ Le Long Legged Doji indique un possible retournement après une tendance baissière.
▲ La période quotidienne montre une tendance haussière solide, fournissant un soutien de période supérieure.
▲ Les signaux haussiers se produisent près de l'extrémité inférieure de la fourchette, près du support.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Des tendances baissières plus fortes sur 1H et 2H pourraient submerger le rebond 4H.
▼ Si le prix casse sous le support de 9,76400, le signal haussier est invalidé.
▼ La dynamique peut s'estomper rapidement compte tenu de la faible force du signal et des périodes supérieures agitées.
▼ Les périodes 8H et 15M sont agitées, indiquant une indécision qui pourrait conduire à de faux signaux.