AUD/CAD – 4H – ACHAT

ACHAT 3× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-15 20:00 UTC il y a 21 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

0.98141

Target

0.99757 +1.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.97794 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 386 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 386 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.42 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 17 % at stop avg −0.49 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (12.86) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 19.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.6 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.1 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 604 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.00
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.47
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.43
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.37
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	ZLMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.00
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance naissante

30M

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal haussier fort sur le graphique 4H, mais il va à l'encontre de la tendance baissière dominante sur les horizons supérieurs.
Plusieurs indicateurs et une figure de chandelier haussière s'alignent, suggérant un rebond potentiel.
Surveillez la résistance à 0,99757 : une cassure pourrait signaler un retournement plus profond ; un échec favorise la poursuite de la baisse.
Le support à 0,97794 est le niveau d'invalidation ; une clôture en dessous annulerait la configuration haussière.

Le signal AUD/CAD 4H est massivement haussier, déclenchant un groupe d'indicateurs de momentum et de tendance : ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, TRIX Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, ZLMA Retreat Up et une figure de chandelier haussière Belt Hold. Ces signaux indiquent collectivement une forte tentative de retournement haussier, avec une pression d'achat qui se construit et un momentum qui se déplace vers le haut. La confluence de multiples indicateurs de différentes catégories (tendance, momentum, chandelier) renforce la conviction de la configuration.

Cependant, le contexte de tendance sur les horizons temporels supérieurs est clairement baissier, avec des tendances baissières fortes sur les graphiques 30m, 1h, 2h et 4h, et seulement une action agitée/neutre sur les horizons 8h, 12h et 1d. Cela suggère que le signal haussier est probablement un rebond contra-tendance au sein d'une tendance baissière plus large. La résistance la plus proche à 0,99757 est le niveau clé à surveiller ; une cassure au-dessus pourrait confirmer un retournement plus important, tandis qu'un échec pourrait voir la paire reprendre sa trajectoire baissière. Le support à 0,97794 reste le niveau d'invalidation baissière critique.

Catalyseurs

▲ Confluence de multiples indicateurs haussiers (ADXR, BOP, CMO, STOCH, TRIX, HMA, ZLMA) et une figure haussière Belt Hold.
▲ Scores de tendance très forts sur les horizons inférieurs (30m, 1h, 2h) soutiennent le momentum à court terme.
▲ Conditions de survente (CMO OS Exit) et croisements haussiers (STOCH, BOP) suggèrent que la pression d'achat se construit.
▲ La probabilité élevée du signal (88%) et sa force très forte.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance baissière dominante sur 4H et les horizons inférieurs pourrait submerger le rebond haussier.
▼ Les horizons supérieurs (8h, 12h, 1d) sont agités/neutres, offrant peu de soutien de tendance.
▼ La résistance à 0,99757 est proche ; un échec à la casser pourrait conduire à une reprise de la tendance baissière.
▼ Si le prix clôture en dessous du support de 0,97794, le signal haussier est invalidé.