DOT/USDT – 4H – VENTE

VENTE 2× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-15 00:00 UTC il y a 17 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −4.00 %

Entry

1.0990

Target

1.0090 +8.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.2840 −16.83 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 56 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.08 % per trade 1,303 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,303 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.78 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.82 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.92 % 19 % at stop avg −4.01 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −2.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (3.70) ▼ Bearish 76 % (11.75)

model score 7.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.96
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.25
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.18
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.04
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.96
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.80
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.50

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance solide

30M

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

L'alignement baissier sur tous les horizons temporels soutient le signal VENTE, mais la force de la tendance est modérée.
Plusieurs indicateurs de momentum (ADX, BOP, STOCHF) confirment la pression à la baisse.
Surveillez le support à 1,00900 pour une éventuelle cassure ; 1,28400 est le niveau d'invalidation clé.
Les conditions de survente (WILLR, RSX) peuvent entraîner des rebonds à court terme, alors gérez le risque avec précaution.

Le signal DOT/USDT en 4H s'aligne avec un sentiment baissier général sur tous les horizons temporels surveillés, bien que la force de la tendance soit généralement modérée. La confluence de plusieurs indicateurs de momentum et de tendance – notamment ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down et STOCHF KD Cross Down – confirme que les vendeurs ont le contrôle. Les signaux de repli supplémentaires (DEMA et MIDPOINT) et les entrées en survente (WILLR et RSX) suggèrent que le récent repli fait partie d'une tendance baissière plus large plutôt que d'un retournement. Cependant, les tendances sur les horizons temporels inférieurs ne font que se former ou sont hésitantes, ce qui indique que le mouvement baissier est encore en développement et pourrait manquer de suivi fort.

Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance la plus proche à 1,28400 et le support à 1,00900. Une cassure sous le support confirmerait une baisse supplémentaire, tandis qu'un retour au-dessus de la résistance invaliderait la configuration baissière. Compte tenu de la force modérée et des signaux mitigés sur les horizons supérieurs, les traders devraient surveiller l'action des prix autour de ces niveaux pour confirmation.

Catalyseurs

▼ Tous les horizons temporels montrent un biais baissier, renforçant le signal.
▼ La confluence des signaux ADX, BOP et STOCHF indique un fort momentum vendeur.
▼ Le repli depuis DEMA et MIDPOINT confirme que la tendance baissière est intacte.
▼ Les entrées en survente suggèrent que la tendance est toujours active, pas en retournement.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les horizons temporels supérieurs (1D, 12H) sont hésitants/latéraux, ce qui peut limiter le suivi à la baisse.
▲ Les conditions de survente (WILLR, RSX) pourraient déclencher un rebond technique.
▲ Un mouvement au-dessus de la résistance à 1,28400 invaliderait la configuration baissière.
▲ Un affaiblissement du momentum est possible compte tenu des scores de force de tendance modérés.