EUR/JPY – 30M – VENTE
VENTE 7× ACTUALISÉ CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,657 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 1.74 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.72 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.61 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.04 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami Cross | candlestick | 0.79 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Les horizons supérieurs (2H et plus) sont baissiers, avec des tendances 8H/12H solides ; la vente en 30M est un jeu de contre-tendance contre un rebond haussier faible.
- Le signal combine une cassure de Fibonacci (retracement de 24%), un Northern Doji, et plusieurs indicateurs baissiers (BOP, STOCHF, HMA), ajoutant de la confluence.
- La résistance à 177.594 est le niveau clé à surveiller ; une cassure au-dessus invaliderait la configuration baissière.
- Le support à 176.298 est l'objectif immédiat à la baisse ; une cassure en dessous confirmerait la reprise de la tendance baissière.
- ▼ L'alignement baissier sur les horizons supérieurs (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) soutient le signal de vente.
- ▼ La cassure de Fibonacci au retracement de 24% fournit une confluence technique.
- ▼ Plusieurs indicateurs (BOP, DX, STOCHF, HMA) sont alignés baissiers sur le graphique 30M.
- ▼ Le motif Northern Doji suggère un renversement potentiel par rapport au rebond récent.
- ▲ Les horizons 15M-1H sont haussiers, donc le rebond pourrait s'étendre davantage, poussant le prix vers la résistance.
- ▲ La force du signal est faible (probabilité de 63%), indiquant une conviction limitée.
- ▲ Une cassure au-dessus du niveau de résistance de 177.594 invaliderait la configuration baissière.
- ▲ La nature agitée/neutre des horizons inférieurs (score de tendance 1/5) pourrait conduire à de faux signaux.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.59400 | 2026-10-14 |
| R2 | 177.87000 | 2026-10-09 |
| S1 | 176.29800 | 2026-10-14 |