GBP/JPY – 1H – ACHAT

ACHAT 5× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-14 22:00 UTC il y a 13 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.17 %

Entry

208.872

Target

209.987 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

208.194 −0.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 947 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 947 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 38 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.41 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, RSI OS Exit +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 23,094 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +18% Intraday

▲ Bullish 91 % (28.13) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.74)

model score 91.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.0 % vs 18.1 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 376 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (14 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.94
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.85
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.58
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.53
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.28
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.21
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.19
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.00
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance très forte

30M

DOWNTendance très forte

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

12H

UPSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Plusieurs indicateurs de sortie de survente sur le 1H suggèrent un rebond haussier à court terme.
Les horizons temporels supérieurs (15m-1H) sont baissiers, donc c'est un signal contraire à la tendance.
Surveillez la résistance à 209,987 et le support à 208,477 pour la direction.
Le signal est fort (92%) mais probablement mieux adapté aux trades à court terme.

Le graphique 1H pour GBP/JPY a déclenché un groupe de signaux de sortie de survente — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH et WILLR sortant tous de la survente — accompagnés d'un repli haussier du HMA et d'un croisement à la baisse en phase du Phasor. Cela suggère que la pression vendeuse s'épuise et qu'un rebond à court terme est probable. Cependant, les horizons temporels supérieurs (15m à 1H) sont toujours fermement baissiers, tandis que les 2H et 4H sont agités et latéraux, et les 8H/12H sont légèrement haussiers. Cet alignement mixte signifie que le signal d'achat est contraire à la tendance sur les horizons inférieurs, donc le rebond pourrait être limité.

Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance à 209,987 et le support à 208,477. Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance renforcerait le scénario haussier, tandis qu'un échec à maintenir le support invaliderait le signal. Les scores de tendance sont forts sur 15m/30m/1H mais faibles sur les horizons supérieurs, donc les traders devraient traiter cela comme une opportunité de scalp ou à court terme plutôt qu'un retournement de tendance. La confluence de multiples signaux de sortie de survente ajoute du poids, mais la tendance baissière sur les horizons supérieurs est un risque.

Catalyseurs

▲ La confluence de six signaux de sortie de survente (BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) augmente la fiabilité.
▲ Le repli haussier du HMA et le croisement à la baisse du Phasor ajoutent une confirmation du momentum haussier.
▲ Le support à 208,477 a tenu, fournissant une base pour le rebond.
▲ Un score de tendance fort sur le 1H (3/5) soutient un mouvement vers la résistance.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance baissière sur 15m, 30m et 1H pourrait dominer le rebond.
▼ L'action agitée/latérale sur 2H et 4H pourrait limiter le potentiel de hausse.
▼ Un échec à maintenir le support à 208,477 invaliderait le signal.
▼ La résistance à 209,987 est proche et pourrait limiter les gains.