AUD/JPY – 1H – VENTE

VENTE 6× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-16 12:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.20 %

Entry

109.923

Target

108.634 +1.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.133 −1.10 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,015 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,015 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 6 % (2.74) ▼ Bearish 94 % (40.97)

model score 93.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	2.45
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.30
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.85
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.25
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.23

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance solide

30M

UPTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Groupe de signaux baissiers forts sur 1H : rupture de ligne de tendance, momentum et indicateurs de tendance alignés.
Les cadres temporels supérieurs (2H et au-dessus) sont déjà baissiers, soutenant la vente à court terme.
Surveillez la résistance à 111.13300 ; une cassure au-dessus invaliderait la configuration baissière.
Le support à 108.63400 est la principale cible à la baisse et une zone de retournement potentielle.

Le graphique 1H AUD/JPY a déclenché un groupe dense de signaux baissiers, mené par une rupture de ligne de tendance et confirmé par BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up et ER Level Cross Down. Cette confluence de signaux de momentum, de tendance et d'indicateurs indique un fort changement baissier sur le cadre temporel à court terme, avec une probabilité évaluée à 87% et une force très forte.

Sur les cadres temporels supérieurs, l'alignement baissier est clair : 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H et 1D montrent tous des tendances baissières, avec le 2H déjà solide. Les 15M, 30M et 1H sont encore haussiers mais seulement en formation ou solides à un niveau faible, ce qui suggère que la tendance haussière à court terme perd de l'élan et risque de s'inverser. Niveaux clés à surveiller : résistance immédiate à 111.13300, qui devrait tenir pour maintenir la pression baissière, et support le plus proche à 108.63400, une cible probable si le mouvement s'étend.

Catalyseurs

▼ Confluence de multiples signaux d'indicateurs (BOP, STOCH, ULTOSC, retrait EMA/SMA, ER) pointant tous vers le bas.
▼ La rupture de ligne de tendance ajoute une confirmation technique au momentum baissier.
▼ Alignement baissier sur les cadres temporels 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H et 1D.
▼ Force de signal très forte et probabilité élevée (87%) augmentent la confiance.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les cadres temporels à court terme (15M, 30M, 1H) sont encore haussiers, ce qui pourrait retarder ou contrer le mouvement.
▲ Si le prix casse au-dessus de la résistance à 111.13300, le signal baissier est invalidé.
▲ Le momentum pourrait s'estomper si la tendance 1H redevient haussière, en conflit avec la vue baissière des cadres supérieurs.
▲ Le support le plus proche à 108.63400 est à une longue distance, laissant de la place pour un repli peu profond avant la continuation.