AUD/USD – 1H – ACHAT

ACHAT 1× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-16 21:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

0.69405

Target

0.69804 +0.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −0.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 53 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,015 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,015 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.38 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.14 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TRIMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 24,143 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.7 % ↓ −19.6 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 91 % (20.71) ▼ Bearish 9 % (2.12)

model score 27.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 612 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (16 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.01
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▼	AROON Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	AROONOSC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.80
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.51
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.30
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance naissante

30M

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNTendance solide

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Le signal d'achat est contre-tendance : tous les délais montrent un momentum baissier, donc la hausse est probablement limitée.
Les indicateurs de repli (MA, KAMA, TRIMA) suggèrent un rebond à court terme, pas un retournement.
La résistance à 0,69804 est l'objectif haussier immédiat ; le support à 0,68941 est la zone d'invalidation.
La faible force du signal et les lectures AROON contradictoires nécessitent de la prudence.

Le signal 1H AUD/USD est un ACHAT, mais la tendance sous-jacente sur tous les délais surveillés est baissière, avec le 12H et le 1D montrant des tendances baissières solides. Le signal est porté par un groupe d'indicateurs de repli (HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, TRIMA) et un croisement zéro à la hausse du BOP, suggérant un rebond à court terme dans une tendance baissière plus large. Cependant, les indicateurs AROON émettent des croisements baissiers, ce qui entre en conflit avec la direction d'achat et souligne la faible force du signal et sa probabilité de 58%.

Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance à 0,69804 et le support à 0,68941. Un rebond vers la résistance pourrait offrir une opportunité longue à court terme, mais l'alignement baissier sur les délais plaide pour la prudence. Les signaux de repli peuvent indiquer un repli temporaire dans la tendance baissière, mais sans confirmation d'un retournement de tendance, toute hausse est probablement limitée. Les traders doivent traiter cela comme un mouvement contre-tendance et gérer le risque de manière stricte.

Catalyseurs

▲ Plusieurs indicateurs de repli (HT Trendline, KAMA, MA, TRIMA) s'alignent pour un rebond.
▲ Le croisement zéro à la hausse du BOP indique une pression d'achat en amélioration.
▲ Le prix approche du support, ce qui pourrait attirer les acheteurs de repli.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance baissière sur tous les délais, avec le 12H et le 1D montrant des tendances baissières solides, pourrait submerger tout rebond.
▼ Les indicateurs AROON sont baissiers, en conflit avec le signal d'achat et suggérant un momentum à la baisse.
▼ Une cassure sous le support à 0,68941 invaliderait le rebond et accélérerait probablement les ventes.
▼ La faible probabilité (58%) et la faible force réduisent la confiance dans le signal.