GBP/JPY – 4H – ACHAT

ACHAT 3× ACTUALISÉ
il y a 21 heures
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
211.518
Target
212.549 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
208.359 −1.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 432 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 432 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, T3 Break Up, KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout +11 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
41.7 % ↓ −19.3 vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 97 % (31.50) ▼ Bearish 3 % (0.95)
model score 34.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 6 candles
GBP/JPY  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 4h 34%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (20 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 3.19
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 3.12
▲ KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.93
▲ Double Bottombreak + retest chart_pattern 2.73
▲ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Breakout indicator 2.65
▲ Bull Flagbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.59
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.50
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.20
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 1.98
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.97
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ RSI OB Entry indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
UPTendance naissante
30M
UPTendance naissante
1H
UPTendance solide
2H
UPSans direction
4H
UPTendance naissante
8H
UPSans direction
12H
UPSans direction
1D
DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés
  • Forte confluence haussière sur 4H : les figures de double creux et de drapeau haussier s'alignent avec les indicateurs de momentum.
  • Tous les horizons intraday sont haussiers, le 1h montrant une tendance solide ; seul le 1D est baissier mais encore en formation.
  • Support clé à surveiller : 208.35900 ; une cassure en dessous invaliderait le signal haussier.
  • Pas de résistance immédiate, ce qui suggère un potentiel de mouvement haussier, mais surveiller l'horizon supérieur pour confirmation.
Le signal 4H GBP/JPY est extrêmement haussier, avec une probabilité de 95 % et une force très élevée, porté par une confluence de figures chartistes et d'indicateurs de momentum. Les figures de double creux (Double Bottom) et de drapeau haussier (Bull Flag) suggèrent respectivement un retournement d'une tendance baissière antérieure et la poursuite d'un mouvement haussier. Le groupe d'indicateurs de momentum – RSI OB Entry, STOCH KD Cross Up et DEMA/EMA Retreat Up – confirme une forte pression acheteuse et un repli sain au sein d'une tendance haussière. Le HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up valide en outre que la ligne de tendance de l'horizon supérieur agit comme un support, renforçant la conviction haussière.

Sur les horizons temporels, l'alignement haussier est cohérent : le 1h montre une tendance solide (3/5) et les autres horizons intraday sont en formation ou irréguliers mais toujours haussiers. Le seul horizon baissier est le 1d, qui est en formation de tendance (2/5), suggérant que la perspective à plus long terme est encore indécise mais pas fortement opposée. Le support le plus proche à 208.35900 est un niveau critique à surveiller ; une cassure en dessous invaliderait la thèse haussière. Sans résistance immédiate, le chemin de moindre résistance est vers le haut, mais les traders doivent rester prudents compte tenu des signaux mitigés de l'horizon supérieur.
Catalyseurs
  • ▲ Plusieurs figures chartistes (Double Bottom, Bull Flag) pointant dans la même direction.
  • ▲ Indicateurs de momentum (RSI, STOCH, DEMA, EMA) signalant tous un momentum haussier.
  • ▲ Le repli de la ligne de tendance de l'horizon supérieur indique que le support tient.
  • ▲ Force du signal élevée et probabilité haute (95 %) basée sur la confluence.
Facteurs de risque
  • ▼ L'horizon 1D est baissier, ce qui pourrait exercer une pression à plus long terme.
  • ▼ Si le prix casse sous le support de 208.35900, la configuration haussière est invalidée.
  • ▼ Les tendances irrégulières/latérales sur 2H, 8H, 12H peuvent indiquer un manque de momentum clair.
  • ▼ RSI OB Entry suggère des conditions de surachat, ce qui pourrait conduire à un repli.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 4H
Direction ACHAT
Conviction 34%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-20 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 208.35900 2026-10-14
S2 208.19400 2026-10-08
S3 206.88500 2026-09-30

Tags

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