AVA/XUSDT – 30M – VENTE
VENTE NOUVEAUWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, MA Break Down +20 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(21 Oct 2026, 10:32 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Break Down | indicator | 3.10 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.94 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.80 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.68 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.57 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.41 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.39 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.23 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.80 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.62 |
| ▼ | RSX Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | QSTICK Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | KST Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.51 |
| ▼ | AO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | VORTEX Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▲ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | SMI Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.22 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Signal baissier fort sur 30m avec probabilité de 95% et force très forte.
- Plusieurs indicateurs de momentum et de tendance (CCI, DI/DM, MOM, ROC, DEMA/EMA) s'alignent pour un biais vendeur.
- La tendance immédiate est baissière sur 15m et 30m, mais 1h et 2h sont encore haussières—conflit à surveiller.
- Niveaux clés : résistance à 9.84000, support à 9.39000 ; une cassure sous le support confirme le baissier, une reconquête de la résistance invalide.
Cependant, le tableau d'ensemble est mitigé : les périodes 1h et 2h sont encore haussières (tendance en formation), tandis que les périodes 4h et supérieures (8h, 12h, 1d) sont baissières. Cela crée un conflit entre la poussée baissière à court terme et la structure haussière à moyen terme. La résistance la plus proche à 9.84000 et le support à 9.39000 définissent la fourchette immédiate ; une cassure sous le support confirmerait le biais baissier, tandis qu'une reconquête de la résistance l'invaliderait. L'alignement de multiples indicateurs de momentum et de tendance sur le 30m, combiné aux périodes supérieures baissières, soutient un mouvement baissier continu, mais la nature saccadée des périodes inférieures et la tendance haussière 1h/2h justifient la prudence.
- ▼ Forte confluence de plus de 20 indicateurs baissiers sur la période 30m.
- ▼ Alignement baissier sur les périodes supérieures (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) soutient la baisse.
- ▼ Score de tendance fort (très fort) et probabilité élevée (95%) augmentent la fiabilité du signal.
- ▼ Indicateurs de momentum (CCI, MOM, ROC) croisant tous zéro vers le bas simultanément.
- ▲ Action de prix saccadée/latérale sur 15m et 30m peut conduire à de fausses cassures.
- ▲ Tendance haussière en formation sur 1h et 2h pourrait contrer le signal baissier si le momentum des périodes supérieures persiste.
- ▲ Le support le plus proche à 9.39000 est un niveau d'invalidation clé ; un rebond à partir de là pourrait stopper le mouvement.
- ▲ Si le prix reconquiert la résistance à 9.84000, la configuration baissière est invalidée.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 9.84000 | 2026-10-20 |
| R2 | 9.91800 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 9.39000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 9.26400 | 2026-10-18 |