EUR/USD – 30M – ACHAT

ACHAT 3× ACTUALISÉ
il y a 5 heures
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %
Entry
1.11945
Target
1.12265 +0.29 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11441 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +25.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 95 % (29.56) ▼ Bearish 5 % (1.40)
model score 95.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 6 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 30m 96%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.54
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.40
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.35
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.25
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 0.96

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSans direction
30M
DOWNSans direction
1H
DOWNTendance naissante
2H
DOWNTendance naissante
4H
DOWNSans direction
8H
DOWNSans direction
12H
DOWNTendance solide
1D
DOWNTendance très forte

Analysis

🎯 Points clés
  • Le signal d'achat est contre-tendance ; les périodes supérieures sont toutes baissières, avec une tendance quotidienne très forte.
  • Attendez un potentiel haussier limité ; la résistance la plus proche à 1,12119 est une barrière clé.
  • Le motif Hanging Man est un avertissement baissier, en conflit avec le biais d'achat.
  • Une cassure en dessous du support à 1,11846 invaliderait le signal haussier.
Le signal EUR/USD sur 30 minutes est un ACHAT, mais il se déclenche contre une tendance majoritairement baissière sur toutes les périodes supérieures. Le signal est composé de plusieurs événements basés sur des indicateurs : BOP Zero Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, HMA Direction Up et ER Level Cross Down, plus un HT SINE Zero Cross Down. Ceux-ci suggèrent une correction haussière à court terme dans une tendance baissière plus large. Le motif de chandelier 'Hanging Man' est typiquement un signal de retournement baissier, ce qui ajoute une note de prudence au biais haussier.

L'alignement de tendance est mauvais : les périodes de 15 min à 4 h sont baissières et agitées/latérales, tandis que les 8 h et 12 h sont baissières avec des scores de tendance plus forts, et le 1 j est une tendance baissière très forte. Cela signifie que le signal d'achat est probablement un mouvement contre-tendance, avec un potentiel haussier limité. Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance la plus proche à 1,12119 et le support à 1,11846. Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance pourrait signaler un retournement plus significatif, mais une cassure en dessous du support invaliderait le cas haussier et reprendrait probablement la tendance baissière dominante.
Catalyseurs
  • ▲ Plusieurs indicateurs (BOP, DEMA, HMA) montrent un élan haussier sur la période de 30 minutes.
  • ▲ Le ER Level Cross Down et HT SINE Zero Cross Down suggèrent un changement potentiel de l'élan à court terme.
  • ▲ Le prix sur 30 minutes est proche du support, ce qui peut offrir une zone de rebond.
Facteurs de risque
  • ▼ La forte tendance baissière sur la période de 1 jour (4/5) plaide contre une reprise durable.
  • ▼ Le motif de chandelier Hanging Man est baissier et peut signaler un retournement à la baisse.
  • ▼ L'action agitée/latérale sur les périodes inférieures (15 min, 30 min) suggère une faible conviction dans le mouvement haussier.
  • ▼ Si le prix tombe en dessous de 1,11846, le signal haussier est invalidé.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction ACHAT
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12119 2026-10-23
R2 1.12265 2026-10-23
R3 1.12560 2026-10-22
S1 1.11846 2026-10-23

Tags

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