USD/JPY – 4H – ACHAT

ACHAT NOUVEAU

2026-10-23 13:00 UTC il y a 6 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

156.934

Target

158.603 +1.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.376 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bullish, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 94 % (22.98) ▼ Bearish 6 % (1.49)

model score 14.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.3 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	2.76
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.19
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.84
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.71
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.65
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.54
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.51
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.38
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.34
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPSans direction

30M

UPSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal haussier fort sur 4H avec plusieurs confirmations, mais les horizons supérieurs sont baissiers – à traiter comme une possible contre-tendance.
Surveillez la résistance à 158.603 ; un dépassement pourrait confirmer la dynamique haussière, tandis que le support à 156.376 est le niveau d'invalidation.
Les 15m/30m sont haussiers mais agités, suggérant un bruit à court terme ; la tendance baissière 1H-4H pourrait dominer.
La probabilité est élevée (93%) mais la force est très forte – néanmoins, des horizons contradictoires exigent de la prudence.

Le signal 4H USD/JPY est fortement haussier (probabilité de 93%, très fort) avec un large groupe d'indicateurs confirmant la dynamique haussière : BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, HMA Direction Up, plus six autres. Ces indicateurs suggèrent ensemble un passage de conditions de survente à une pression d'achat, avec plusieurs croisements et un motif haussier (AO Saucer) renforçant le mouvement. Cependant, les horizons temporels supérieurs (1H, 2H, 4H) sont baissiers, le 4H montrant une tendance baissière solide. Cela crée un conflit : le signal 4H est haussier, mais la tendance des horizons supérieurs est baissière, ce qui pourrait signifier que le mouvement haussier est une correction contre-tendance dans une tendance baissière plus large. La résistance la plus proche à 158.603 est un obstacle clé ; si le prix la dépasse, le scénario haussier se renforce. Le support le plus proche à 156.376 est la zone d'invalidation ; une chute en dessous annulerait le signal haussier.

Catalyseurs

▲ Large confluence d'indicateurs (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, AO, ER, KDJ, SMI, HMA) pointant tous vers le haussier sur le 4H.
▲ Le motif AO Saucer Bullish suggère un fond arrondi, souvent un signal de retournement.
▲ La sortie de zone de survente (WILLR OS Exit) indique la fin des conditions de survente, soutenant la pression haussière.
▲ Plusieurs croisements (KDJ, SMI, STOCHF) confirment le changement de dynamique.

Facteurs de risque

▼ Les horizons supérieurs (1H-4H) sont baissiers, surtout la tendance solide du 4H – le signal haussier pourrait être une correction dans une tendance baissière.
▼ La résistance la plus proche à 158.603 pourrait plafonner le potentiel haussier ; un échec à la dépasser pourrait mener à un retournement.
▼ Si le prix tombe sous le support de 156.376, le signal haussier est invalidé.
▼ L'action agitée/latérale sur 15m/30m et 8H-1D suggère une faible conviction dans la tendance globale.