USD/CHF – 2H – VENTE

VENTE 1× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-26 15:00 UTC il y a 4 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.11 %

Entry

0.82669

Target

0.81916 +0.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −1.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 29,195 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.4 % ↑ +20.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 37 % (5.49) ▼ Bearish 63 % (9.28)

model score 62.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour USD/CHF

Calendrier complet

12:30DemainUSDCore Durable Goods Orders m/m●●○Prevision 1.0%Precedent 0.3%dans 15 h
12:30DemainUSDDurable Goods Orders m/m●●●Prevision 0.7%Precedent 0.0%dans 15 h
13:00DemainUSDS&P/CS HPI Composite-20 y/y●●○dans 15 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (26 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.57
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.65
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.30
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.08
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.72

Trend Context

15M

UPTendance solide

30M

UPTendance solide

UPSans direction

UPTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

12H

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Un ensemble dense de signaux baissiers sur le graphique 2H indique un mouvement probable à la baisse.
Le Golden Cross sur EMA 20/50 est supplanté par plusieurs signaux de momentum baissier, suggérant que la phase haussière se termine.
Le support à 0,81916 est le niveau clé à surveiller ; une cassure en dessous confirmerait la tendance baissière.
La résistance à 0,83950 est le niveau d'invalidation ; un mouvement au-dessus annulerait le signal de vente.

Le graphique 2H pour USD/CHF a déclenché un ensemble dense de signaux baissiers, notamment un BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, EMA 20/50 Golden Cross, SMA 200 Retreat Down et un Keltner Upper Retreat. Le Golden Cross suggère un biais haussier antérieur, mais les signaux de momentum baissier simultanés indiquent que l'avancée récente stagne et s'inverse. La sortie extrême ZSCORE ajoute du poids, car le prix avait dépassé la moyenne et revient maintenant.

À travers les échelles de temps, le tableau est mitigé : les échelles plus courtes (15m, 30m) montrent encore une tendance haussière solide, tandis que le 4H est haussier mais solide, et le 8H, 12H et 1D sont baissiers. Cela suggère que le signal de vente 2H fait partie d'une correction baissière plus large dans une tendance baissière à long terme, mais la pression haussière immédiate sur les échelles inférieures pourrait provoquer des rebonds. Les niveaux clés à surveiller sont la résistance à 0,83950 et le support à 0,81916. Une cassure sous le support confirmerait le mouvement baissier, tandis qu'une reconquête de la résistance invaliderait le signal.

Catalyseurs

▼ Plusieurs indicateurs (BOP, STOCH, SMA 200, Keltner) sont alignés dans la direction baissière, augmentant la confluence.
▼ La sortie extrême ZSCORE suggère que le prix était surétendu et revient maintenant à la moyenne.
▼ Les échelles supérieures (8H, 12H, 1D) sont baissières, soutenant l'idée que la vente 2H fait partie d'une tendance baissière plus large.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les échelles inférieures (15m, 30m) sont encore haussières, ce qui pourrait provoquer des rebonds à court terme contre le signal.
▲ Le Golden Cross sur EMA 20/50 est un signal haussier qui pourrait encore jouer si le prix reste au-dessus du support.
▲ Si le prix casse au-dessus de la résistance à 0,83950, le setup baissier serait invalidé.
▲ Le 4H est haussier et solide, ce qui pourrait entrer en conflit avec le signal baissier 2H.