AUD/JPY – 1H – VENTE

VENTE 6× ACTUALISÉ

2026-10-29 13:00 UTC il y a 12 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

110.776

Target

110.324 +0.41 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 12 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ALMA Break Down +18 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 12 % (5.24) ▼ Bearish 88 % (37.79)

model score 12.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 13 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.0 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour AUD/JPY

Calendrier complet

05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Interest Rate Decision●●●Precedent 1.3%dans 2 h
05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Outlook Report●●○dans 2 h
05:30Aujourd'huiJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Statement●●○dans 2 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.98
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.83
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.59
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.48
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.26
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	2.23
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.22
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.22
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.00
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	1.93
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.79
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▼	EMA 50 Break Down	indicator	1.63
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.58
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.51
▼	QQE Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.11
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSans direction

30M

DOWNSans direction

UPTendance solide

UPTendance naissante

UPSans direction

12H

UPSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal baissier fort sur la période 1H avec une probabilité élevée et une force très forte.
Plusieurs motifs baissiers et ruptures d'indicateurs s'alignent, mais les périodes plus longues restent haussières.
Niveaux clés : résistance à 111.56400, support à 110.32400.
Surveillez une cassure sous le support pour confirmer la tendance baissière ; sinon, la tendance haussière des périodes plus longues pourrait dominer.

Le signal AUD/JPY 1H est massivement baissier, avec une probabilité de 94% et une force très élevée. Une confluence de signaux baissiers a été déclenchée, notamment une rupture de ligne de tendance à la baisse, une figure de double sommet (Double Top) et plusieurs ruptures de moyennes mobiles (EMA 50, DEMA, BBANDS LOWER). Le STOCH KD Cross Down et le DX Trend Strong confirment encore le momentum baissier. Cependant, l'alignement des tendances sur les différentes périodes est mitigé : les périodes plus courtes (15m, 30m, 1h) sont toutes baissières mais agitées/plates, tandis que les périodes plus longues (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) sont haussières, avec le 2h montrant une tendance solide (3/5). Cela suggère que la pression baissière est une correction à court terme dans un contexte haussier plus large. La résistance la plus proche est à 111.56400, et le support le plus proche est à 110.32400, offrant des niveaux clairs à surveiller pour un éventuel mouvement à la baisse.

Catalyseurs

▼ Confluence de signaux baissiers : rupture de ligne de tendance, Double Top et plusieurs ruptures de moyennes mobiles.
▼ Alignement baissier sur les périodes 15m, 30m et 1h soutient le mouvement baissier immédiat.
▼ Des scores de tendance forts sur le 1H (DX Trend Strong) et le STOCH KD Cross Down ajoutent de la conviction.
▼ Le motif Double Top fournit un signal de figure baissière clair.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les périodes plus longues (2h, 4h) sont haussières, ce qui pourrait annuler le mouvement baissier à court terme.
▲ La tendance 1H est agitée/plate, indiquant un momentum faible malgré la force du signal.
▲ Si le prix se maintient au-dessus du support le plus proche à 110.32400, la configuration baissière pourrait échouer.
▲ Un rebond depuis le support pourrait invalider la rupture et conduire à une continuation de la tendance haussière plus large.