EUR/JPY – 4H – VENTE

VENTE Dans le sens de la tendance 1× ACTUALISÉ

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC il y a 1 jour

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %

Entry

176.874

Target

175.073 +1.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

178.482 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.6 % ↑ +18.3 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Swing

▲ Bullish 38 % (9.52) ▼ Bearish 62 % (15.67)

model score 62.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour EUR/JPY

Calendrier complet

07:00DemainEURCPI y/y●●●dans 14 h
07:00DemainEURCPI m/m●●●dans 14 h
09:0012 novembre 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○dans 1 jour

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.01
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.64
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.50
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.36
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.15
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	1.02
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.95
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPSans direction

30M

UPSans direction

DOWNTendance solide

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNTendance naissante

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Signal baissier fort sur EUR/JPY 4H avec une probabilité de 82% et plusieurs indicateurs de retrait alignés.
Le momentum est confirmé par le BOP zero cross down et le STOCHRSI KD cross down.
La tendance baissière est cohérente sur les périodes de 1H à 1D, soutenant le biais vendeur.
Niveaux clés : résistance à 178.48200, support à 175.07300.

La pile de signaux EUR/JPY 4H est massivement baissière, avec une probabilité forte de 82% et un groupe de 14 signaux de retrait (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, HT Trendline) pointant tous vers une dynamique baissière. Le BOP Zero Cross Down confirme la pression vendeuse, tandis que le STOCHRSI KD Cross Down ajoute un changement de momentum. Cette confluence d'indicateurs et de figures de chandeliers suggère un mouvement baissier coordonné.

Sur les périodes, le biais est constamment baissier de 1H à 1D, avec des scores de tendance solides sur les graphiques 1H et 2H. Le 4H lui-même est dans une tendance en formation, ce qui soutient l'idée que la vente se développe encore. La résistance la plus proche à 178.48200 est le niveau à surveiller pour tout rebond, tandis que le support le plus proche à 175.07300 est le premier objectif à la baisse. Une cassure sous le support pourrait ouvrir la porte à d'autres baisses, mais d'ici là, la configuration baissière reste intacte.

Catalyseurs

▼ Plusieurs signaux de retrait (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA Price, HT Trendline) pointent tous vers le bas.
▼ Le BOP zero cross down et le STOCHRSI KD cross down ajoutent une confirmation de momentum.
▼ La tendance baissière sur les périodes 1H, 2H, 4H, 12H et 1D fournit un alignement fort.
▼ Le prix est sous la résistance, le support n'étant pas encore testé, laissant de la place pour la baisse.

Facteurs de risque

▲ Les périodes plus courtes (15m, 30m) sont haussières, ce qui pourrait provoquer un rebond à court terme.
▲ La tendance 4H n'est que 'en formation' (2/5), donc le momentum pourrait encore se construire et stagner.
▲ Si le prix casse au-dessus de la résistance à 178.48200, la thèse baissière est invalidée.
▲ Des conditions agitées/range sur les périodes supérieures (8H) pourraient conduire à une action latérale.