GBP/JPY – 2H – ACHAT

ACHAT Contre-tendance 4× ACTUALISÉ

2026-11-11 08:00 UTC il y a 18 heures

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

211.824

Target

212.649 +0.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

211.119 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 9 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,088 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,088 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.22 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.23 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +15% Intraday

▲ Bullish 73 % (30.46) ▼ Bearish 27 % (11.19)

model score 9.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 10 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 615 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Evenements pour GBP/JPY

Calendrier complet

07:00Aujourd'huiGBPGDP 3m/3m●●○Precedent 0.7%dans 2 h
07:00Aujourd'huiGBPGDP m/m●●●Prevision 0.1%Precedent 0.1%dans 2 h
07:00Aujourd'huiGBPGDP y/y●●●Prevision 1.3%Precedent 1.4%dans 2 h

Toutes les heures UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (11 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.97
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.89
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.27
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.15
▲	Hammer	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTendance naissante

30M

DOWNSans direction

DOWNTendance naissante

DOWNSans direction

12H

DOWNSans direction

UPSans direction

Analysis

🎯 Points clés

Le signal haussier 2H se déclenche contre une tendance baissière multi-timeframes, indiquant un possible rebond contre-tendance.
Plusieurs indicateurs s'alignent pour un mouvement haussier à court terme, mais la force est faible et la probabilité n'est que de 63%.
La résistance à 212.649 et le support à 211.119 sont les niveaux clés à surveiller.
Le timeframe 1D est le seul haussier, mais il est agité, ajoutant de l'incertitude.

Le signal 2H GBP/JPY a déclenché un ACHAT malgré un contexte multi-timeframes majoritairement baissier, avec une probabilité de 63% et une force faible. La confluence des signaux indicateurs – BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up et SMA 200 Retreat Up – suggère une impulsion haussière à court terme dans une tendance baissière plus large. Cependant, le SAR Flip Bearish et le HT SINE Cross Down indiquent que la tendance globale reste baissière, et le signal pourrait représenter un rebond contre-tendance plutôt qu'un retournement.

Sur les timeframes, la tendance est baissière de 15m à 12h, seul le 1D montre des conditions haussières mais agitées. Ce désalignement réduit la fiabilité du signal d'achat 2H. Niveaux clés à surveiller : résistance la plus proche à 212.649 et support à 211.119. Une cassure au-dessus de la résistance renforcerait le scénario haussier, tandis qu'une perte du support invaliderait le signal. Compte tenu de la force faible et de la tendance conflictuelle des timeframes supérieures, les traders devraient traiter cela comme un long tactique avec une gestion stricte du risque.

Catalyseurs

▲ La confluence de plusieurs indicateurs haussiers (BOP, DX, STOCHF, retraits EMA/SMA) soutient un rebond à court terme.
▲ Le timeframe 1D montre un biais haussier, offrant un vent arrière de niveau supérieur.
▲ Le prix est proche du support à 211.119, qui pourrait servir de tremplin pour un rebond.

Facteurs de risque

▼ La tendance baissière sur tous les timeframes inférieurs (15m à 12h) plaide contre une hausse soutenue.
▼ La force du signal faible et la probabilité faible suggèrent un suivi limité.
▼ Une cassure sous le support à 211.119 invaliderait le setup haussier.
▼ Le SAR flip baissier et le croisement HT SINE baissier soulignent une pression baissière continue.