📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

IBM and AppLovin Face Selling Pressure as Investors Pivot to AI IPOs

Evercore ISI identifies IBM and AppLovin as potential funding sources for upcoming AI IPOs, citing negative earnings revisions and the need for investors to liquidate existing positions to capture new market opportunities.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted (Stocks). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: IBM ↓ 10/10 (58% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

IBM
Bearish 🤖 58%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

IBM is identified by Evercore ISI as a potential casualty of portfolio rebalancing as investors liquidate positions to fund upcoming high-profile AI IPOs. This pressure is compounded by internal challenges, including a 7% decline in infrastructure revenue and a $300 million drop in free cash flow, which leaves the stock vulnerable to negative sentiment and seasonal tax-loss selling.

Catalysts
  • Potential investor rotation into upcoming OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs
  • Seasonal tax-loss selling
Risk Factors
  • Negative earnings-revision trends
  • Significant decline in IBM Z infrastructure revenue
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
Why is IBM considered a potential casualty of AI IPOs?

Evercore ISI suggests investors may sell existing underperforming holdings like IBM to raise capital for new, high-profile AI listings.

What is the primary operational challenge for IBM?

The company is struggling to restore operating momentum, evidenced by a 42% drop in IBM Z revenue and declining free cash flow.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Investors are rotating capital out of established tech names to prepare for high-profile AI public offerings.
  • IBM faces headwinds from declining infrastructure revenue and slowing free cash flow, complicating its AI-driven turnaround.
  • AppLovin maintains strong cash flow from its AI-based advertising platform, but faces intense competition and scaling risks.
  • Portfolio rebalancing and seasonal tax-loss selling may exacerbate downward pressure on underperforming stocks.

📝 Executive Summary

Evercore ISI analysts warn that IBM and AppLovin may face near-term selling pressure as investors rebalance portfolios to fund potential OpenAI and Anthropic listings. While both companies navigate unique operational challenges, the risk of seasonal tax-loss selling and capital rotation toward new AI entrants creates a volatile outlook for current shareholders.

❓ FAQ

Why are IBM and AppLovin considered vulnerable to new AI IPOs?

Evercore ISI suggests these stocks may be sold by investors looking to raise liquidity for potential upcoming IPOs from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, particularly given their recent negative earnings-revision trends.

Does a stock price decline necessarily indicate a poor investment?

No. A decline may reflect temporary portfolio rebalancing or seasonal tax-loss selling rather than a fundamental deterioration in business economics, though investors must distinguish between the two.