News report 📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

Aswath Damodaran Exits Nvidia Position Citing Stretched $5 Trillion Valuation

Valuation expert Aswath Damodaran warns Nvidia's $5 trillion market cap is unsustainable, arguing that AI must replace human labor to justify the massive capital expenditure currently fueling the chipmaker's growth.

🕐 1 min read

2 assets impacted (Stocks). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 1 Neutral. Strongest signal: NVDA ↓ 6/10 (60% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (2)

NVDA
Bearish 🤖 60%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Damodaran warns Nvidia is priced as the 'greatest company ever' and has sold his position, citing stretched valuation despite strong fundamentals.

AAPL
Neutral 🤖 55%
📆 Mid-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Apple is mentioned as the second-largest company with 20% Polymarket odds of being the world's largest in 2026, with no direct valuation opinion.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Aswath Damodaran sold his entire Nvidia stake, citing concerns that the stock price assumes an improbable level of future AI-driven revenue.
  • Damodaran estimates the AI sector needs $8 trillion to $10 trillion in annual revenue to justify current infrastructure investments, far exceeding the current $250 billion.
  • Polymarket data shows a 71% probability of Nvidia remaining the world's largest company by 2026, compared to 20% for Apple.

📝 Executive Summary

NYU Stern professor Aswath Damodaran has fully exited his position in Nvidia, warning that the chipmaker is priced as the 'greatest company ever.' While Nvidia continues to report triple-digit revenue growth, Damodaran argues that the AI sector requires an unrealistic $8 trillion to $10 trillion in annual revenue to justify current infrastructure spending levels.

❓ FAQ

Why did Aswath Damodaran sell his Nvidia shares?

Damodaran believes Nvidia is priced as the 'greatest company ever' and that the current valuation relies on an unrealistic expectation of future AI revenue growth.

What is the primary risk for the AI sector according to Damodaran?

He warns that for AI to generate the revenue needed to justify current infrastructure costs, it must replace human labor, which could ultimately destroy the consumer base that purchases the goods and services produced by AI.