Nvidia NVDA · Forecast & Analysis
Heads-up: USD Core CPI, Core CPI m/m came in better than expected for USD (29 h ago).
Heads-up: USD CPI, CPI m/m came in worse than expected for USD (29 h ago).
Heads-up: USD Core CPI n.s.a. m/m came in worse than the previous value for USD (29 h ago).
Heads-up: high-impact releases ahead: USD Initial Jobless Claims (in 18 h), USD EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (in 21 h). The outlook can shift noticeably around them.
Nvidia (NVDA) is in an unusually large fall after the CEO scandal, with bearish trends on every short and medium timeframe. Governance and litigation headlines keep pressure on, though no damage to the business is quantified yet.
News situation · 100 items / 30 D
66 of 100 straight from the issuer or regulator
NVDA chart by timeframe
Trendlines, support and resistance and patterns come from the newest signal of the selected timeframe.
No signal on this timeframe — price and EMA only.
Outlook for NVIDIA Corporation
Direction, typical moves and upcoming dates from our own price, news and calendar data, recalculated on every visit. An assessment, not investment advice.
Price history still too short for a statement.
No price statement: our price history does not reach that far. Based on 100 news items.
What drives it
- CEO Jensen Huang's admitted affair with a suspected Chinese spy and a board-led investigation
- FBI probe, securities class action and shareholder litigation probes keep the overhang alive
- Strong bearish candle trends on the 30-minute, hourly and 2-hour charts; the 4-hour is also down
- Markets pricing faster Fed hikes after fresh inflation data, hitting AI-linked tech hardest
What argues against it
- Shares sit near a yearly low after the slide, so much of the damage may already be priced in
- The company says it has no reason to believe secrets were compromised; Beijing denied the claim
- The stock rebounded from $170.24 to $179.92 within one session, showing dip buyers remain active
- CoreWeave's raised AI guidance lent some support to AI sentiment after the close
What would change the picture
- A clean result from the internal Wachtell investigation could clear the CEO and spark a rebound
- The hourly trend turning up would be the first technical sign of a change in the picture
- PPI and retail sales in the coming days could shift rate expectations and tech sentiment
Coming up
- US: Jobless claims
- US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change · expected -2.489M, previous -0.865M
- US: Producer prices · expected 0.4%, previous 0.7%
Economic data for NVDA
Full calendarRecently released
- November 10, 2026USDCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.8%Previous 2.6%
- November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%
- November 10, 2026USDCore CPI m/m●●●Actual 0.3%Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%
- November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Actual 337.476Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298
- November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Actual 0.4%Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%
- November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Actual 0.2%Previous 0.4%
- November 10, 2026USDCore CPI●●●Actual 339.900Forecast 339.796Previous 338.896
Coming up
- TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 18h
- TomorrowUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.489MPrevious -0.865Min 21h
- November 13, 2026USDCore PPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.7%in 1 day
- November 13, 2026USDPPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 1.3%in 1 day
- November 17, 2026USDCore Retail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.7%Previous 0.9%in 5 days
- November 17, 2026USDRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast 0.3%Previous 0.8%in 5 days
- November 18, 2026USDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 6 days
All times UTC. Assessed against the consensus forecast, otherwise against the previous value. Price reaction measured on NVDA.OQ.
Trend across all eight timeframes
There are no individual trading signals; the picture comes from the candle trends. The 30-minute, hourly and 2-hour charts all show strong downtrends, the 4-hour a moderate one. A uniformly downward-sloping structure leaves little technical support for buyers.
What this means for your trading style
- The 15- and 30-minute trends are strongly bearish, so quick moves on the timeframes scalpers watch still favour sellers.
- The hourly and 2-hour charts both carry strong downtrends, keeping the intraday flow firmly on the downside.
- The swing timeframes are bearish, though only moderately so on the 4-hour, suggesting downward pressure at a steadier pace.
No price data for this style yet, so no direction is shown.
Both worlds over time
One dot per day and source, 30 days. Technicals: trend across all timeframes at the close of the day. News: net direction of the day.
What is being reported about NVDA
In-depth analysis of NVIDIA Corporation
AI-generated · as of November 11, 2026
The dominant story is governance. Last weekend CEO Jensen Huang admitted an affair with a woman US intelligence suspects of spying for China, and the board opened an independent investigation with outside counsel Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz.
Read full analysis
The matter also touches Megaspeed, accused of helping restricted Chinese firms obtain Nvidia chips, and the FBI is probing it while two law firms recruit shareholders for securities-fraud claims. Since November 6 the slide has wiped roughly half a trillion dollars off Nvidia's market value and pushed shares toward a yearly low, with an unusually large fall over the past day and week. The chart agrees with the headlines: the 30-minute, hourly and 2-hour charts all carry strong downtrends and the 4-hour picture is moderately bearish as well. The fundamental side settles as neutral only in a narrow sense, because no financial damage to the business has been measured: the affair itself carries no revenue or guidance figures. What limits further downside for now is that much may be priced in. Shares fell to $170.24, a level last seen in late March, before rebounding to $179.92 within the same session, and Beijing's denial removes part of the original trigger. The macro backdrop adds pressure rather than relief: markets now price faster Fed hikes after the latest inflation prints, which hits AI-linked names hardest, and further high-impact US data is due in the coming days.
Frequently asked questions about NVIDIA Corporation
What triggered Nvidia's sharp fall?
CEO Jensen Huang admitted an affair with a woman suspected by US intelligence of spying for China, and the board opened an independent investigation. The matter also touches Megaspeed, accused of helping Chinese firms evade export controls. An FBI probe and securities-fraud litigation investigations followed, and Nvidia has lost roughly half a trillion dollars in market value since November 6.
Is there anything that could stop the slide?
Two things stand out. The internal investigation by Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz could clear the CEO, which the news coverage flags as a rebound trigger. And much of the damage may already be priced in: the shares fell to $170.24, a level last seen in March, then rebounded to $179.92 within the same session, showing buyers still step in at the lows.
Does the scandal hurt Nvidia's AI business itself?
So far no financial figures are attached: no guidance change, no revenue impact and no regulatory action against the company's sales. The company says it has no reason to believe secrets were compromised. The risk is reputational and governance-related, with analysts warning of a lasting overhang and possible congressional inquiries, rather than a measured hit to demand for its chips.
📝 Overview Generated automatically
NVDA has been the subject of 1201 signals across 1201 articles in the last 365 days. Sentiment skews Bullish (49%).
Breakdown: 585 bullish, 215 bearish, 401 neutral.
Most-cited catalysts: Surging AI chip demand (2×), Nvidia quarterly earnings release (2×), Acquisition of Hugging Face for $12.9 billion (2×). Most-cited risk factors: Competition from custom AI chips (4×), Geopolitical restrictions on chip exports (3×), Competitive pressure in the AI hardware market (3×).
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