XRP faces a difficult path to $2 as 60% of its supply remains underwater, with current ETF demand absorbing only 1.7% of the total supply overhang.
XRP faces heavy resistance from $1.41 to $2.00 because 75% of realized value was acquired above $2, and current ETF demand only absorbs 1.7% of supply.
Bitcoin is referenced only as a performance benchmark, down 13.4% year-to-date, with no direct news affecting its outlook.
Ethereum is referenced only as a performance benchmark, down 19% year-to-date, with no direct news affecting its outlook.
XRP struggles to regain momentum, trading at $1.26 as significant supply overhang persists. On-chain data reveals that 75% of the asset's realized value was acquired above $2, creating a dense ladder of selling pressure that current ETF demand is insufficient to clear. Analysts suggest a recovery to $2 remains unlikely before 2027 without a surge in institutional inflows or legislative progress.
Approximately 75% of XRP's realized capitalization is tied to tokens purchased above $2, meaning a large cohort of investors is waiting to break even, which creates substantial selling pressure at that price point.