News report 💱 Forex 🌍 GLOBAL

AUD/JPY Slips Below 109.00 as BoJ Hawkish Minutes Fuel Yen Demand

AUD/JPY faces persistent downside pressure, trading at 108.90 as market unease over AI industry scrutiny boosts the Yen and BoJ minutes signal continued policy tightening.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted (Forex). Net bias: 0 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: AUD/JPY ↓ 6/10 (75% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

AUD/JPY
Bearish 🤖 75%
📅 Short-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

The cross trades around 108.90 on November 6, capped beneath the 100-day SMA at 111.80 with the RSI at 36.91 near oversold, confirming a bearish bias. Hawkish BoJ September minutes released Thursday, with most policymakers agreeing further rate hikes are appropriate, support the Yen. Safe-haven JPY demand from AI-sector fears adds downside pressure toward 108.64 and 107.70 support.

Catalysts
  • ▼ BoJ September meeting minutes released Thursday showing broad agreement on further rate hikes, one member open to a faster pace
  • ▼ Safe-haven flows into JPY from market unease over AI industry scrutiny and data center construction
Risk Factors
  • ▲ RSI at 36.91 is near oversold, limiting immediate downside rather than signaling imminent reversal
  • ▲ Another policymaker noted no need for immediate action, suggesting a cautious tightening pace
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
Why is AUD/JPY falling right now?

The Yen is strengthening on safe-haven demand amid fears of tighter scrutiny of the AI industry, and the BoJ's September minutes released Thursday reinforced expectations of further rate hikes, both weighing on the cross.

What levels should I watch on AUD/JPY?

Below 108.64, the October 15 low, the next targets are 107.70 (February 13 low) and 106.08 (January 26 low). Upside resistance sits at 109.15, then 110.00, 110.40, and the 100-day SMA at 111.80.

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • The Japanese Yen is gaining strength as a safe-haven asset due to growing market concerns regarding AI industry regulation and data center construction.
  • Bank of Japan September minutes confirm a hawkish bias, with policymakers signaling that further interest rate increases are appropriate to meet inflation targets.
  • Technically, the pair remains bearish, trading below the 100-day SMA with the RSI at 36.91, suggesting further potential for declines toward the 107.70 support level.

📝 Executive Summary

The AUD/JPY cross is trading near 108.90, pressured by a strengthening Japanese Yen amid safe-haven flows and hawkish Bank of Japan policy signals. September meeting minutes revealed a broad consensus among policymakers for further rate hikes, reinforcing a bearish technical outlook as the pair remains capped below its 100-day moving average.

❓ FAQ

Why is AUD/JPY falling right now?

The Yen is strengthening on safe-haven demand amid fears of tighter scrutiny of the AI industry, and the BoJ's September minutes released Thursday reinforced expectations of further rate hikes, both weighing on the cross.

What levels should I watch on AUD/JPY?

Below 108.64, the October 15 low, the next targets are 107.70 (February 13 low) and 106.08 (January 26 low). Upside resistance sits at 109.15, then 110.00, 110.40, and the 100-day SMA at 111.80.