Earnings report 📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

Vistra Q3 2026 EBITDA Jumps 50% to $2.38 Billion on Record Power Demand

Vistra Corp. posted a 50% surge in Q3 EBITDA to $2.38 billion, fueled by record summer energy demand, and issued a bullish 2027 outlook as it integrates its newly acquired Cogentrix generation assets.

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Q3 2026 net income of $1,140 million rose $488 million year over year and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $2,378 million was up $797 million (+50%), driven by record summer demand in ERCOT and PJM and higher energy and capacity prices. The company also initiated 2027 guidance of $7,700-$8,500 million EBITDA above its narrowed 2026 range of $7,100-$7,500 million, signaling growth. Offsetting positives, liquidity fell from roughly $8,923 million to about $5.4 billion pro forma after Cogentrix payments and a $1 billion preferred redemption.

Catalysts
  • ▲ Q3 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA of $2,378 million, up $797 million year over year
  • ▲ Initiated 2027 guidance of $7,700-$8,500 million EBITDA above the narrowed 2026 range
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Partial impairment of the Moss Landing 350 facility
  • ▼ Available liquidity reduced to approximately $5.4 billion pro forma after the $2.2 billion Cogentrix cash payment and $1 billion preferred redemption
▼ Show FAQ (2) ▲ Hide FAQ
How strong were Vistra's Q3 2026 results?

Net income was $1,140 million, up $488 million from Q3 2025, and Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA was $2,378 million, more than 50% higher than the $1,581 million a year earlier.

What guidance did Vistra give?

It narrowed its 2026 Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $7,100-$7,500 million and initiated 2027 guidance of $7,700-$8,500 million, with 2027 Adjusted FCFbG of $4,300-$5,100 million.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA reached $2,378 million, a $797 million increase over Q3 2025.
  • Management initiated 2027 EBITDA guidance of $7.7 billion to $8.5 billion, signaling continued growth.
  • Pro forma liquidity declined to $5.4 billion following the $2.2 billion Cogentrix acquisition and $1 billion preferred stock redemption.

📝 Executive Summary

Vistra Corp. reported a strong third quarter for 2026, with Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA rising over 50% year-over-year to $2.38 billion. The company benefited from record summer peak demand in ERCOT and PJM markets, alongside the successful integration of its Cogentrix acquisition. While liquidity tightened to $5.4 billion following strategic capital deployments, management initiated an optimistic 2027 EBITDA guidance range of $7.7 billion to $8.5 billion.

❓ FAQ

How strong were Vistra's Q3 2026 results?

Vistra reported net income of $1,140 million, up $488 million from the prior year, with Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA rising more than 50% to $2,378 million.

What is Vistra's outlook for 2027?

The company initiated 2027 guidance for Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA between $7,700 million and $8,500 million, with Adjusted FCFbG expected between $4,300 million and $5,100 million.