News report ₿ Crypto 🌍 United States

Bitcoin Slips to $73,518 as October CPI Inflation Hits 0.4% Monthly

Bitcoin nears 11-week lows and Nvidia shares drop 4% as a 0.4% October CPI print fuels expectations for a December Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

🕐 1 min read

4 assets impacted (Crypto, Stocks, Forex). Net bias: 1 Bullish, 3 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: BTC ↓ 6/10 (80% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (4)

BTC
Bearish 🤖 80%
📅 Short-term 🌍 GLOBAL · Explicit

Bitcoin fell to $73,518 at Tuesday's Wall Street open, its lowest level since Aug. 21, after October CPI came in at 0.4% month-on-month versus 0.3% expected. Markets now price a December Fed rate hike (85.3% odds of 25bp, 14.7% of 50bp), which weighs on risk assets like BTC.

Catalysts
  • ▼ October CPI at 0.4% MoM, above the 0.3% forecast
  • ▼ Fed governor Waller favors a 25bp hike in December; markets price 85.3% odds
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Price returned above $74,000 after the initial dip
  • ▲ Rate hike expectations were already near 96.3% before the report, so the surprise is limited
NVDA
Bearish 🤖 75%
⚡ Intraday 🌍 US · Explicit

Nvidia stock fell nearly 4% on Tuesday amid a board investigation into whether CEO Jensen Huang was targeted by a foreign intelligence effort, compounding pressure on tech stocks from the above-forecast October CPI print.

Catalysts
  • ▼ Board investigation into whether CEO Jensen Huang was targeted by a foreign intelligence effort
  • ▼ Stock fell nearly 4% at Tuesday's trading
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Broader tech pressure from the CPI report may dominate the company-specific news
COMP
Bearish 🤖 60%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

The Nasdaq opened down 0.6% at Tuesday's open as above-forecast CPI (0.4% MoM) added to headwinds including strong jobs data and tighter AI-sector regulation prospects. However, it recouped the losses, and analysis flagged a put/call ratio spike above 1.0 that may signal a long-term bottom rather than further downside.

Catalysts
  • ▼ October CPI at 0.4% MoM above the 0.3% forecast
  • ▼ Equity put/call ratio jumped over 1.0, higher than during the April 2025 trade-war selloff
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The index recouped its opening losses of 0.6%
  • ▲ Mosaic Asset Company sees 'extreme' sell-side pressure potentially signaling a long-term bottom
USD
Bullish 🤖 60%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US ✨ Inferred

The above-forecast October CPI (0.4% MoM vs 0.3% expected) made markets more hawkish on the Fed: odds of a 25bp December hike rose to 85.3% with 14.7% for a 50bp hike, supporting the dollar via higher expected rates.

Catalysts
  • ▲ October CPI beat at 0.4% MoM
  • ▲ Market pricing of a December Fed rate hike rose after the report
Risk Factors
  • ▼ A 25bp hike was already almost fully priced at 96.3% before the report, limiting incremental dollar upside

🧭 Full analysis of these assets

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, exceeding the 0.3% market expectation.
  • Bitcoin fell to $73,518, marking its lowest price point since Aug. 21.
  • Markets now price an 85.3% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in December.
  • Nvidia stock declined nearly 4% following news of a board investigation into CEO Jensen Huang.
  • The Nasdaq equity put/call ratio spiked above 1.0, surpassing levels seen during the April 2025 trade war selloff.

📝 Executive Summary

Bitcoin dipped to $73,518, its lowest level since Aug. 21, following an October CPI print of 0.4% that exceeded the 0.3% forecast. The data prompted markets to adjust December Fed rate hike expectations, with an 85.3% probability now assigned to a 25-basis-point increase. Meanwhile, Nvidia shares fell nearly 4% amid a board investigation into CEO Jensen Huang.

❓ FAQ

BTC · Why is Bitcoin falling?

US October inflation came in above forecasts, pushing markets to price in a December Fed rate hike, and Bitcoin dropped to around $73,500, its lowest level since Aug. 21.

NVDA · Why did Nvidia stock drop?

Nvidia fell nearly 4% as its board investigates whether CEO Jensen Huang was targeted by a foreign intelligence effort, alongside general tech weakness after the hot inflation report.

COMP · How did the Nasdaq react to the inflation data?

It opened down 0.6% after the hot CPI print but recouped the losses, while elevated put/call readings suggested heavy selling pressure that some analysts view as a potential bottom signal.

USD · What does the CPI report mean for Fed rate expectations?

After the 0.4% MoM October CPI beat, markets price an 85.3% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and 14.7% chance of a 50-basis-point hike at the Fed's December meeting.