Analyst report 📈 Stocks 🌍 United States

Jefferies Cuts eBay Price Target to $75 on Slowing Ad Growth and EBITDA Risks

Jefferies warns that eBay's reliance on high-margin advertising is reaching a plateau, with slowing growth and increased exposure to lower-margin initiatives threatening future earnings estimates.

🕐 1 min read

1 assets impacted. Net bias: 0 Bullish, 1 Bearish, 0 Neutral. Strongest signal: EBAY ↓ 6/10 (62% confidence).

📊 Affected Assets (1)

EBAY
Bearish 🤖 62%
📅 Short-term 🌍 US · Explicit

Jefferies reiterated Underperform and cut its price target to $75 from $80, citing EBITDA downside and slowing advertising growth.

🎯 Key Takeaways

  • Jefferies cut its price target to $75, citing EBITDA estimates that sit 4% to 11% below consensus for 2027 and 2028.
  • Advertising revenue, which previously drove over 100% of EBITDA growth, is expected to slow as attribution changes in North America take effect.
  • Underlying gross margins have faced 600 basis points of pressure, masked by headcount reductions and advertising gains.

📝 Executive Summary

Jefferies reiterated an Underperform rating on eBay, slashing its price target to $75 from $80. The firm cites persistent pressure on underlying EBITDA and a projected deceleration in high-margin advertising revenue, which has historically masked weaker core profitability.

❓ FAQ

Why is Jefferies bearish on eBay's long-term earnings outlook?

Jefferies expects slowing advertising growth and a shift toward lower-margin business initiatives to weigh on profitability, noting that underlying EBITDA has declined annually since 2023.