BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
63 days ago
Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.5 % vs 37.5 % average · stopped out 32.1 % vs 19.8 % (Crypto, 483 closed runs). Not a reason to act — a reason to watch.
BTC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 30m 10%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (18 Jul 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
Trendline Break Downcontinuation trendline 2.38
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
Triple Bottom Retreat Downcontinuation chart_pattern 2.01
Trendline Retreat Downcontinuation trendline 2.00
Double Bottom Retreat Downcontinuation chart_pattern 2.00
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)state only fibonacci 2.00
WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.80
STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.50

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

On the 30-minute timeframe, BTC/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by Trendline Break Down and multiple zero-cross breakdowns on the Balance of Power (BOP), Momentum (MOM), Rate of Change (ROC), and ROCR indicators. The simultaneous Triple Bottom Retreat Down and Double Bottom Retreat Down patterns indicate that prior support structures have been rejected from below, while the Trendline Retreat Down confirms a failed upside attempt. The inclusion of Fibonacci-based signal groups suggests price has retreated from a key retracement level, reinforcing the bearish bias. Despite the 30-minute chart itself being labeled bullish, the overwhelming volume of sell signals on this timeframe points to an immediate shift in intraday momentum.

The broader multi-timeframe structure shows a uniform bullish trend from 30 minutes up to 12 hours, each rated at a low strength of 1/5 and described as choppy/sideways. This weak bullish alignment implies the higher timeframes lack conviction, making them vulnerable to a deeper pullback. The daily timeframe is outright bearish, adding a layer of macro resistance. The nearest resistance sits at 64387.99, while support is at 63884.35. A sustained break below support would open the path toward lower levels, while any recovery would need to clear resistance to challenge the prevailing bearish signal cluster.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 10%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-07-18 08:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 64,387.99000 2026-07-17
R2 64,896.00000 2026-07-16
R3 64,997.52000 2026-07-16
S1 63,884.35000 2026-07-17
S2 62,537.56000 2026-07-17
S3 61,824.97000 2026-07-13

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