AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

2026-07-27 20:30 UTC · 13 hours ago

BUY

84%

▲ BUY

STRONG

Scalping

Prognose: 46% historisch

⚡ Confluence +59%

▲ Bullish 84% (50.43) ▼ Bearish 16% (9.68)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (0%)	fibonacci	2.57
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.55
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.54
▲	Support Level Retreat Up	sr	2.50
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.21
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▼	Trendline Break Down	trendline	1.84
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / Sideways

UPTrend Forming

12H

UPSolid Trend

UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on 30M chart, including trendline break and momentum shifts.
Higher timeframes (1h to 12h) show bullish trend formation, supporting the short-term signal.
Key resistance at 114.658; support at 114.254. A break above resistance could accelerate gains.
Strong signal probability (91%) with very strong strength rating.

AUD/JPY on the 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a trendline break down, AROON confirming a strong downtrend reversal, and multiple momentum indicators (BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, WILLR oversold exit) aligning for a move higher. The EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats up, along with a Fibonacci break above the 0% level, add confluence. Despite the short-term bearish trend on 15m and 30m, higher timeframes (1h to 12h) show a developing to solid bullish trend, suggesting the recent pullback may be a correction within a larger uptrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 114.658 and support at 114.254, with the breakout above the trendline and Fibonacci level supporting further upside.

Catalysts

▲ Trend alignment: higher timeframes (1h-12h) are bullish, suggesting the short-term bearish move is a pullback.
▲ Confluence of signals: trendline break, AROON reversal, and multiple oscillator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) all point to bullish momentum.
▲ Fibonacci break above 0% level and EMA/SMA retreats up indicate bullish structure.
▲ Strong trend scores on 12h (3/5) and developing trends on 1h-8h (2/5) support continuation.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) remain bearish and choppy, which could delay or invalidate the bullish move.
▼ Resistance at 114.658 is nearby; failure to break above it may lead to a false breakout.
▼ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating lack of strong long-term trend conviction.
▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to hold above the broken trendline or Fibonacci level.