AUD/JPY 2H SELL

· 12 hours ago
SELL
95%
▼ SELL
VERY STRONG
Intraday
Prognose: 61% historisch
▲ Bullish 5% (0.94) ▼ Bearish 95% (18.71)
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

Signals Fired Category Weight
MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.52
MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.29
HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.28
MA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.88
Trendline Break Down trendline 1.84
Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) fibonacci 1.37
BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.97
Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.70

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / Sideways
30M
DOWNTrend Forming
1H
DOWNTrend Forming
2H
DOWNTrend Forming
4H
DOWNTrend Forming
8H
UPTrend Forming
12H
UPSolid Trend
1D
UPChoppy / Sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on 2H suggest strong selling pressure.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-4h) align bearish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bullish.
  • Key support at 113.866; a break below could accelerate downside.
  • Resistance at 114.658 is the nearest upside barrier.
AUD/JPY has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE). This confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups points to strong selling pressure. The bearish momentum is consistent on lower timeframes (15m to 4h), all showing bearish trends forming, while higher timeframes (8h to 1d) remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 114.658 is a key level to watch; a break below support at 113.866 could accelerate the decline. However, the bullish structure on higher timeframes may limit downside.

Traders should monitor the 113.866 support level closely. If price holds above this level, the higher timeframe bullish bias could reassert. Conversely, a sustained break below would confirm the bearish shift. The strong trend scores on lower timeframes support the sell signal, but the lack of bearish alignment on 8h and above introduces risk of a reversal. Volume and momentum indicators should be watched for signs of exhaustion near support.
Catalysts
  • Confluence of 10+ signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
  • Bearish trend forming on all timeframes from 15m to 4h.
  • Multiple moving average retreats indicate sustained selling momentum.
  • BOP zero cross down confirms bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
  • Higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish, which could limit downside.
  • Price is approaching support at 113.866; a bounce could invalidate the sell signal.
  • Choppy/sideways trends on 15m and 1d suggest potential consolidation.
  • If price holds above 113.866, the bearish momentum may fade.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Probability 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-07-28 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 114.65800 2026-07-27
S1 113.86600 2026-07-22
S2 113.00900 2026-07-20
S3 112.18000 2026-07-10

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