AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL
SELL
95%
▲ Bullish 5% (0.94)
▼ Bearish 95% (18.71)
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Signal evolution
Signals Fired
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.52 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.28 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.91 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.88 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Down | trendline | 1.84 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Retreat DownTrend (79%) | fibonacci | 1.37 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.97 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.70 |
Trend Context
15MDOWNChoppy / Sideways
30MDOWNTrend Forming
1HDOWNTrend Forming
2HDOWNTrend Forming
4HDOWNTrend Forming
8HUPTrend Forming
12HUPSolid Trend
1DUPChoppy / Sideways
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- Multiple bearish signals on 2H suggest strong selling pressure.
- Lower timeframes (15m-4h) align bearish, but higher timeframes (8h-1d) are bullish.
- Key support at 113.866; a break below could accelerate downside.
- Resistance at 114.658 is the nearest upside barrier.
AUD/JPY has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H timeframe, including a Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE). This confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups points to strong selling pressure. The bearish momentum is consistent on lower timeframes (15m to 4h), all showing bearish trends forming, while higher timeframes (8h to 1d) remain bullish, creating a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 114.658 is a key level to watch; a break below support at 113.866 could accelerate the decline. However, the bullish structure on higher timeframes may limit downside.
Traders should monitor the 113.866 support level closely. If price holds above this level, the higher timeframe bullish bias could reassert. Conversely, a sustained break below would confirm the bearish shift. The strong trend scores on lower timeframes support the sell signal, but the lack of bearish alignment on 8h and above introduces risk of a reversal. Volume and momentum indicators should be watched for signs of exhaustion near support.
Traders should monitor the 113.866 support level closely. If price holds above this level, the higher timeframe bullish bias could reassert. Conversely, a sustained break below would confirm the bearish shift. The strong trend scores on lower timeframes support the sell signal, but the lack of bearish alignment on 8h and above introduces risk of a reversal. Volume and momentum indicators should be watched for signs of exhaustion near support.
Catalysts
- ▼ Confluence of 10+ signals across trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups.
- ▼ Bearish trend forming on all timeframes from 15m to 4h.
- ▼ Multiple moving average retreats indicate sustained selling momentum.
- ▼ BOP zero cross down confirms bearish pressure.
Risk Factors
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8h-1d) remain bullish, which could limit downside.
- ▲ Price is approaching support at 113.866; a bounce could invalidate the sell signal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 15m and 1d suggest potential consolidation.
- ▲ If price holds above 113.866, the bearish momentum may fade.
Symbol
AUD/JPY
Timeframe
2H
Direction
SELL
Probability
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-07-28 16:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 114.65800 | 2026-07-27 |
| S1 | 113.86600 | 2026-07-22 |
| S2 | 113.00900 | 2026-07-20 |
| S3 | 112.18000 | 2026-07-10 |
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